
Gazeta Esportiva.com
·29. September 2025
Flamengo overtake Palmeiras, hold 53% chance of Brasileirão title

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Yahoo sportsGazeta Esportiva.com
·29. September 2025
The 2-1 victory over Corinthians, right at Neo Química Arena, in the 25th round of the Brazilian Championship, boosted Flamengo’s title chances. The club now has a 52.9% probability of winning the tournament, according to data from the Mathematics Department at UFMG (Federal University of Minas Gerais).
Palmeiras, on the other hand, saw its chances decrease. The team from São Paulo lost 1-0 to Bahia, away from home. Now, Verdão’s percentage is 30.1.
Cruzeiro, who were defeated by Vasco 2-0 in Rio de Janeiro, has a 15.3% probability of lifting the trophy.
At the moment, Flamengo leads the Brasileirão with 54 points, having played 24 matches. Palmeiras is in third place, with 49 points from 23 games. Cruzeiro is in second place, with 50 points from 25 matches.
1 – Flamengo: 52.9% 2 – Palmeiras: 30.1% 3 – Cruzeiro: 15.3% 4 – Mirassol: 1.2% 5 – Bahia: 0.39%
The outlook is quite different compared to last week. At the end of the 24th round, Palmeiras had the highest title chances, with 40.3%. Flamengo had 32.6%, and Cruzeiro 23.8%.
In the 26th round, Flamengo and Cruzeiro will face off directly at Maracanã. The match will be on Thursday at 8:30 p.m. (Brasília time). Palmeiras, meanwhile, will host Vasco at 7 p.m. (Brasília time) at Allianz Parque.
This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇧🇷 here.
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