Four games left: Which Bundesliga club has the highest risk of relegation? | OneFootball

Starting from 18th place upwards, Bulinews will look at who is the biggest relegation candidate.

18. Heidenheim  - 19 pts

Bottom of the league, Heidenheim have not managed to capitalise on the form that saw them get Union Berlin manager Steffen Baumgart sacked by beating him 3-1 two weeks ago at home.

Last weekend, it was a disappointing point dropped away at Freiburg that might have been one of the last straws for Frank Schmidt's men.

However, this weekend against St. Pauli it is an all or nothing game as it could see them either save their season or go down into the 2. Bundesliga.

A loss against St. Pauli sees Heidenheim confirmed down as the first Bundesliga relegated side this season. A draw, however, puts their chances of relegation extremely slim seeing as they play Bayern Munich on matchday 32. 

Bundesliga relegation threat: 95%

17. VfL Wolfsburg - 24 pts

For Wolfsburg, they are setting all cards on trying to get the 16th place in the Bundesliga this campaign. 

Two points off St. Pauli in 16th, the Wolves (Die Wölfe) are hoping to do what they did two years in a row in 2017 and 2018 in winning a Bundesliga relegation play off tie against a 2. Bundesliga side.

Their form has been improving slightly, with a narrow defeat to Frankfurt two weeks ago and some luck in grabbing a 2-1 win against Union Berlin last weekend despite their lack of chances created. 

Due to personnel, they may feel like they have the upper hand in the relegation battle but they still play some tough fixtures like against Bayern Munich, Freiburg and at home to fellow relegation-battler Borussia Mönchengladbach. 

With a view to the final matchday, a lot may rest on their away tie against 16th St. Pauli with this match at the moment promising to be a real scrap for Bundesliga survival. 

Bundesliga relegation threat: 60%

16. St. Pauli - 26 pts

St. Pauli will feel disheartened that they weren't able to hold onto all three points at home.

With a 1-1 draw against Köln, it is clear to see that this result favoured the away side in their bid for survival in the Bundesliga.

Elswhere, Wolfsburg's win against Union Berlin has piled more pressure on the Hamburg city side with a lack of goals still being a large problem. 

With 26 goals this season, St. Pauli are the Bundesliga's lowest scoring side and this showed against Köln as they left plenty of chances missing to win the game against score more.

However, their remaining fixtures include a neat trip to bottom side Heidenheim this weekend and a home match against Mainz next week.

Alongside this, a game against another relegation rival VfL Wolfsburg on the last matchday may play into their hands. 

Overall, their fixtures look pretty favourable but they will continue to struggle so long as they fail to take chances in front of goal with 16th place looking more likely than direct safety.

With five points still separating them from direct safety and avoidance of the playoffs, St. Pauli look like they will be up against it to try and cluster enough points to avoid the post-season relegation playoff.

Bundesliga relegation threat: 45%

Other teams: 31 pts (Köln, HSV, Werder Bremen, Borussia Mönchengladbach)

FC Köln

Four teams sit on 31 points with each being five points off 16th: 1. FC Köln in 12th, Borussia Mönchengladbach in 13th, Hamburg in 14th and Werder Bremen in 16th. 

In terms of goal difference, Köln is clearly the safest should it come to this point as the Rhine side has scored plenty of goals this season. 

The loss of Ragnar Ache, Köln's starting striker for the rest of the season with injury will cause some issues but goals still shouldn't be an issue with players like Jakub Kaminski and 19-year-old Saïd El Mala making up some numbers.

Due to sheer attacking power alone Köln may stay up thanks to a high attacking output.

The front two of Jakub Kaminski and Said El Mala for Köln, have a combined total of 27 goal contributions in the Bundesliga alone this season.

FC Köln relegation threat: 10%

Hamburger SV

The team with the biggest threat of relegation within this grouping is either Hamburg or Borussia Mönchengladbach. 

Hamburg do not play a single bottom six side in their remaining four games and all of their four remaining opponents currently sit in the top eight.

Hamburger SV relegation threat: 25%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach, however, sit on the exact same points with a larger leak than Hamburg in the defence which has caused them to concede 50 goals this season.

For them, it's about picking up all three points against Wolfsburg away this weekend to avoid trouble in the final three tough games: Dortmund, Augsburg and Hoffenheim.

Borussia Mönchengladbach relegation threat: 15%

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen still play some really tough fixtures, but have the bonus of form off the back of a huge win against Hamburg in the Nordderby. 

The most realistic win still to come in the Bundesliga for them in the final four games is against Augsburg at home next week. However, tough games against Stuttgart, Hoffenheim and then Dortmund surround this neat home fixture to cause some potential issues.

Bremen are still a bit off being comfortably safe but should they get even a point against Augsburg and one other team, they will be looking comfortable for yet another Bundesliga season.

Werder Bremen relegation threat: 25%