How close are HSV to relegation? AI has the answer! | OneFootball

How close are HSV to relegation? AI has the answer! | OneFootball

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·26. März 2026

How close are HSV to relegation? AI has the answer!

Artikelbild:How close are HSV to relegation? AI has the answer!

Despite the recent 3-2 defeat at Borussia Dortmund, HSV’s position in the relegation battle remains relatively comfortable.

A look at data-based forecasts shows that the danger of getting seriously dragged back into trouble by the end of the season is rather low!


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According to calculations by the portal theanalyst.com, which uses artificial intelligence to simulate various scenarios, the situation has even improved slightly for HSV. The probability of slipping into the relegation playoff spot is now just 2.83 percent. That is a marginal drop compared to the 2.93 percent before the previous matchday.

The outlook is even clearer when it comes to direct relegation. At just 0.2 percent, it now seems possible only in theory.

Artikelbild:How close are HSV to relegation? AI has the answer!

Photo: Getty Images

HSV benefits from defeats for their northern rivals

A key reason for this positive development also lies in the results of their rivals. Defeats for FC St. Pauli and VfL Wolfsburg clearly worked in HSV’s favor. The idea that the Rothosen would give up their still-intact nine-point cushion over the direct relegation places seems almost impossible.

And yet, the forecast for their final league position has worsened slightly after the defeat in Dortmund. Instead of 11th place, HSV are now projected to finish only 13th with an expected total of 37.33 points. The Hamburg side are currently in 12th place.

However, the remaining schedule is a tough one. Away matches in Stuttgart, Frankfurt, and Leverkusen, as well as home games against European hopefuls Hoffenheim and Freiburg, make the run-in extremely demanding. That is precisely why the upcoming basement clash against FC Augsburg (04/04) after the international break could be decisive. A win at the Volksparkstadion would also turn slipping into the relegation playoff spot into a purely theoretical fear.

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇩🇪 here.

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