Portland Thorns vs NJ/NY Gotham FC Prediction: NWSL Preview and Pick | OneFootball

Portland Thorns host NJ/NY Gotham FC in the NWSL on July 25, with kickoff set for 02:00 UTC. It is a late slot for European readers but a Friday night fixture on the West Coast, and our model has settled on a clear lean before a ball is kicked.

The pick sides with the away team. Gotham FC travel into this one as the side our model rates to win, continuing a run of road-favouring calls the model has made on this team through the back half of July.

Quick pick

NJ/NY Gotham FC to win

@ 2.12

Confidence 45% Form WDLDLWWWDWWLWWW

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Form and context

Portland Thorns have been anything but a settled home banker across their recent NWSL slate. Our previous preview of Denver Summit against Portland Thorns found the model unwilling to name a clear favourite in that game, and the one before that, Seattle Reign FC against Portland Thorns, actually had the model leaning toward Portland as the travelling side. Taken together, that is a team the model treats as competitive but not dominant, home or away.

Gotham FC present a different pattern. When we covered Utah Royals against NJ/NY Gotham FC earlier this month, the model backed Gotham to win on the road, and we noted at the time that the same read was showing up across their next few fixtures. This match fits that description: Gotham again get the nod, again as the away side.

Recent form

Portland Thorns WWLWDWWWLDWLDWLL 27% 8–9

NJ/NY Gotham FC WDLDLWWWDWWLWWW 80% 8–5

Last 5 matches · last-5 points % · goals for–against

NWSL — table

#TeamPGDPtsForm

1 Washington Spirit 15 +12 30 WLWWW

2 NJ/NY Gotham FC 15 +9 30 WWWLW

3 San Diego Wave 16 +6 29 DLWWL

4 Portland Thorns 16 +7 27 LLWDL

5 Utah Royals 15 +6 27 WLLDW

6 Kansas City 15 +1 25 DLWWW

Full table & odds →

The model’s read

Our model’s headline pick for this fixture is NJ/NY Gotham FC to win. We do not have the fully broken-down home/draw/away percentages cached for this particular match, so we are not going to dress the lean up with numbers we cannot verify. What we can say plainly is that the model favours the visitors, and that this is consistent with how it has read Gotham’s away matches in general this stretch.

SheKicks verdict

NJ/NY Gotham FC to win @ 2.12

Confidence 45% Suggested stake 5/10

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Odds and value

NWSL markets do not carry the same depth of bookmaker coverage as the men’s game, and we are not going to quote a price in this preview without a named bookmaker attached to it. The live odds strip below pulls the latest number directly from the feed, so check it for the current market price on a Gotham win before you back anything.

NWSLSat 25 Jul · 02:00

Portland Thorns v NJ/NY Gotham FC

13.25Bet365 X3.40Bet365 22.12Dafabet

Model pick

NJ/NY Gotham FC to win

45%

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Our prediction

We are following the model here: NJ/NY Gotham FC to win. It is not a blind trust exercise, either. The same read has shown up on this team’s away fixtures repeatedly in recent weeks, and Portland’s home form this month has not been strong enough in our previous previews to make backing the hosts an obvious counter-call. Backing Gotham on the road is the play.

Track record

Our tracked picks sit at 54 wins from 87 settled bets, a 62.1% strike rate, with a return on investment of 10.3% and profit of 8.92 units. Four picks remain open. Those numbers are genuine and include the losers, not just the highlights.

SheKicks model — verified tipping record

40Tips settled

29–11Win–loss

73%Strike rate

+41.1%ROI

+16.44Profit (units)

Recent:WLWWWLWWWWLL

Level stakes to the price advertised at time of tip. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 18+

Odds and lines can move before kickoff, so treat any number you see on this page as a snapshot rather than a guarantee. Bet responsibly.

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