São Paulo have less than a 20% chance of securing a Copa Libertadores spot | OneFootball

São Paulo has stalled in the Brazilian Championship standings after three losses in the last four games. As a result, the chances of the Tricolor Paulista securing a spot in the next edition of the Copa Libertadores have plummeted.

Currently, São Paulo is in the 8th position, with 38 points. The team is eight points behind Mirassol, the first team within the G4, and five points behind Bahia, the first team in the pre-Libertadores qualification zone.

According to the Mathematics Department of the Federal University of Minas Gerais, São Paulo has only a 17.5% chance of competing in the Copa Libertadores in 2026. Palmeiras, Flamengo, Cruzeiro, Mirassol, Bahia, Botafogo, and Fluminense have better chances of representing Brazil in the continental competition.

Hoping for more spots in the tournament

To have a better chance of competing in the Copa Libertadores next year, São Paulo hopes to increase the number of available spots through the Brazilian Championship. For this to happen, the Tricolor needs to hope that teams within the G6 win the Copa do Brasil or the continental competition.

Thus, if Palmeiras or Flamengo win the Libertadores and Cruzeiro wins the Copa do Brasil, two more spots will open up, and São Paulo, currently in eighth position, will secure a spot in the pre-Libertadores.

Next São Paulo match

Standings situation

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇧🇷 here.