Sunday Football Tips: Jimmy The Punt's best bets including a 7/2 shots angle | OneFootball

English Premier League Tips

Jimmy The Punt tips shots on Super Sunday

Jimmy The Punt has four bets for Sunday's Premier League and Scottish Premiership games via the Befair Sportsbook and Exchange including a 7/2 shots angle...

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Hearts vs Rangers

Sunday, 13:30

Djeidi Gassama has drawn an average of 3.8 fouls per game in the Europa League and 2.3 in the Scottish Premiership. Hardly surprisingly, he is tricky as a box of frogs and completes over two dribbles a game.

Under Danny Rohl, Gassama has started five games and drawn cards from his opposite number on four occasions. So, backing his direct opponent in the card market appeals here.

The issue is Gassama has switched between playing on both the left and the right under Rohl and could play on either flank this Sunday.

He has played the majority of his minutes on the left in the Europa League this term and came off the bench to play on the left against Hibernian.

Assuming Gassama lines up on the left here, Michael Steinwender will be the man tasked with containing him.

Steinwender has picked up two cards in his last three league appearances and can be backed at 3/1 for a card.

Celtic vs Aberdeen

Sunday, 15:00Live on Sky Sports

Wilfried Nancy has made a terrible start at Celtic and it isn't beyond the realms of possibility that his tenure doesn't even stretch til Sunday's game with Aberdeen.

He has taken charge of four games and his side remain winless. Heart's beat them at Celtic Park, as did Roma, then Celtic lost 3-1 at St Mirren and 2-1 to Dundee in midweek.

Aside from the dismal form on the pitch, Nancy hasn't helped himself with his antics off it. The tactics board didn't go down well nor did the Venn diagram tweet from a Twitter account which allegedly belongs to him.

According to BBC Sport Cumbria, Nancy also said he "knows Scottish football" because he nearly joined Carlisle United as a player. Yikes.

On Sunday, they welcome Aberdeen, a side unbeaten in the league in seven (W5 D2).

At 1.76 with the Exchange, backing the visitors +1.75 appeals as we are paid out if Celtic do not win by two or more goals, it is half a stakes loss if Celtic win by two goals and a loser if Celtic win by three or more goals.

Aston Villa vs Manchester United

Sunday, 16:30Live on Sky Sports

Five games into the season, Aston Villa were winless, had only scored one goal, taken three points and sat in the relegation zone.

They've won 10 of the 11 games since (L1) and begin the weekend within striking distance of leaders Arsenal.

In recent weeks, they've beaten Black Country rivals Wolves, came from two goals down to beat Brighton 4-3, scored a 95th minute winner against the Gunners and came from behind twice to edge a five goal thriller at the London Stadium.

Some turn around.

The underlying data suggests a bit of an overperformance - they are out-scoring their expected goals by +7.9 and have conceded -4.9 then they expected goals against tally - but what does that matter?

Another interesting quirk of their campaign is the Villans lead the way for goals from outside the box (10), scoring 40% of their overall tally from downtown.

Morgan Rogers is their top goalscorer (5) and three of his goals have come from range, hardly surprising as 14 of his 24 shots have come from outside the box.

With him on shooting set piece duty, backing him to have 1 or more shots from outside the box at 10/11 and to have 2 or more shots from outside the box at 7/2 massively appeal.

The high line has landed in four of his last seven appearances.

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Recommended bets

Back Michael Steinwender to be carded @ 3/1

Back Aberdeen +1.75 Asian handicap @ 1.76

Back Morgan Rogers to have 1+ shots from outside the box @ 10/11

Back Morgan Rogers to have 2+ shots from outside the box @ 7/2