Boxing Day League One and League Two Tips: Festive accas appeal at 40/1 and 41/1 | OneFootball

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Alan Dudman provides his EFL tipsheet for Boxing Day with two big price accas...

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League One

Peterborough United v Leyton Orient, Friday 15:00: Back Orient to win and Over 1.5 Goals @ 3/1

Games involving the Orient usually provide goals and a Dom Ballard double on Saturday helped the Londoners to a 2-1 victory over promotion chasing Bradford.

Away from home they are quite the entertainers too with 16 scored and 23 conceded, and while I opposed them against Bradford, they still look in a false position and six of their last seven games have hit the BTTS bet.

The visitors have also won six of their last eight Football League games played on Boxing Day (L2), scoring 2.3 goals on average per fixture across that time and goals with a win is the angle into Friday.

Luton Town v Wycombe Wanderers, Friday 15:00: Back Wycombe to win @ 21/10

As long as Luton keep getting priced up as potential title contenders, we continue to oppose them. Once again we are presented with a short price for Jack Wilshire's team who sit in eighth spot with just three wins at home and 10 scored.

It doesn't make we want to rush to the counter to take the 5/4 on offer.

Wycombe earned a superb 2-1 victory on Saturday against Bolton, a big win, and now Michael Duff's team need to improve on their awful away record.

Burton Albion v Northampton Town, Friday 15:00: Back Northampton to win @ 12/5

Not the highlight perhaps for League One devotees at the Pirelli, but Northampton look too big in price to turn down at 12/5.

Burton Albion have failed to win any of their last four league games against Northampton Town (D1 L3), failing to score a single goal during that time, and with six scored all season at home, look far from obvious favourites.

The Cobblers have only scored eight on the road all season, with an xG of just 1.05 away, but they have won three. The hosts are equally unimpressive on the xG score with a home xG of just 1.36.

Goals might be few and far between and Northampton have shown enough in game to be able to nick this and since November have scored three at Plymouth and Wimbledon and held Huddersfield 1-1.

League Two

MK Dons v Swindon Town, Friday 15:00: Back BTTS in first half @ 3/1

Swindon have provided some cheer of late for the column and was with one of two bright spots in Saturday's edition with a win. They also helped us to that 3/1 winner recently with a BTTS in the first half bet, and that's one to explore once again with Ian Holloway's side.

The MK Dons will be out for a statement win themselves in fifth, and they entertain second in a promotion settler.

The Robins have netted 18 times away from the County Ground this term and only two teams have scored more away than Swindon.

The hosts were held to a recent 1-1 in MK by Cambridge, and Swindon would pose more of a goal threat than the Us, so we can explore the angle with BTTS early again here and Swindon, while holding a poor record in winning just one of their last seven away Boxing Day fixtures (D3 L3), but it's a run in which they've failed to keep a single clean sheet.

Walsall v Crewe Alexandra, Friday 15:00: Back Crewe and Over 1.5 Goals @ 7/2

Walsall still hold top spot going into the exhausting run of fixtures but have a poor record historically against Crewe, and have won just three of their last 22 league games against the Alex (D12 L7), though two of those victories have come across their last three fixtures against the Railwaymen.

Crewe continue to be a constant source of frustration, and are a better team than their league spot in tenth implies.

Whether a promotion push is still realistic might be something we could learn a little more about over the next few games as they are potentially hitting some improved form.

They've lost just once in League Two since mid-October and spanked four past Tranmere recently on the road. Walsall are clearly a bit tighter than the Rovers' defence, but the Saddlers have been beaten three times at the Bescot this term and Crewe, with their pass-and-move style, offer something a little different when on-song.

The Alex also have 16 away goals to their name.

Crawley Town v Colchester United, Friday 15:00: Back Colchester to win @ 13/10

The 4-3 loss at the hands of Salford was certainly a narrow one that got away for us Colchester backers recently - and they led 3-1 in that too.

Danny Cowley's team responded with a 4-1 drubbing of a dreadful Newport on Saturday to signal a team in form at the moment and bar the recent 0-0 with Gillingham, have been on a good scoring run. Indeed, it's 14 goals from their last six matches and looka fair price for a win at Crawley.

The hosts have won just two of their seven home Boxing Day fixtures in the Football League (D1 L4), losing their last 2-1 against Sutton United in 2022 and are on a poor run without a win in their last six.

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