Brasileirão: 4 Sudamericana spots, 2 relegations still open 🧮 | OneFootball

The Brasileirão heads into the final round with the champion and Libertadores qualifiers decided, but four spots in the Sudamericana and two relegations still open.

Initially, the Sudamericana 2026 qualifying zone ranges from eighth to 13th place.

But this can change depending on the winner of this year's Copa do Brasil.

If Cruzeiro (third) or Fluminense (sixth) wins the Copa do Brasil, the Libertadores zone will change from G-7 to G-8.

And consequently, the Sudamericana zone will then range from ninth to 14th.

The numbers below, from the Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG), consider the current standings, with G-7 for Libertadores and G-13 for Sudamericana.

Chances for Sudamericana 🏆

São Paulo and RB Bragantino are guaranteed in the Sudamericana (unless, it bears repeating, the G-7 becomes G-8, which would lead the eighth to the Libertadores pre-qualifiers).

In the current scenario, SEVEN teams will compete for the other FOUR Sudamericana spots. And the chances, according to UFMG, are as follows:

São Paulo: 100%

RB Bragantino: 100%

Corinthians: 98.9%

Grêmio: 98.4%

Vasco: 77%

Atlético-MG: 61.6%

Ceará: 25.4%

Santos: 20.9%

Fortaleza: 17.2%

Relegation Risk 👻

Sport and Juventude are already mathematically relegated. TWO spots remain in Serie B. And five teams are still at risk in this 38th round. Check the chances:

Sport: 100%

Juventude: 100%

Internacional: 77.5%

Vitória: 64.9%

Fortaleza: 35.2%

Ceará: 20.4%

Santos: 2.1%

Brasileirão without G-14? 🧐

The Sudamericana qualifying zone ranges from eighth to 13th. The trend, with the Copa do Brasil, is for it to range from ninth to 14th.

The ONLY chance for G-13 NOT to become G-14 is if Vasco finishes below 14th place and then wins the Copa do Brasil.

If Cruzeiro, Corinthians, or Fluminense wins, G-13 will become G-14.

And if Vasco wins and remains among the top 13, G-13 will also become G-14.

38th Round Matches 👀

The Brasileirão will have one match on Saturday (6). All other nine matches will be on Sunday (7), at 4 PM. Check the full schedule:

Saturday (6), 6:30 PM

Mirassol vs. Flamengo

Sunday (7), 4 PM

Ceará vs. Palmeiras

Corinthians vs. Juventude

Vitória vs. São Paulo

Botafogo vs. Fortaleza

Santos vs. Cruzeiro

Atlético-MG vs. Vasco

Internacional vs. RB Bragantino

Fluminense vs. Bahia

Sport vs. Grêmio

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇧🇷 here.