OneFootball
·28 January 2026
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·28 January 2026
For 90 minutes, European football comes to a halt: the Champions League concludes the single group phase with all matches scheduled at the same time. A single goal can change everything.
18 simultaneous matches will determine who advances directly to the round of 16, who will have to go through the playoffs, and who will say goodbye to the competition (HERE is everything you need to know).

Of the 36 clubs at the start, four are already mathematically eliminated regardless of the results (Kairat, Villarreal, Slavia Prague, and Eintracht), while Arsenal and Bayern Munich are already qualified for the round of 16. From here on, the dance of combinations begins. Below, match by match, what each team needs on this high-tension night.
If the Greeks win, the playoff is practically guaranteed.
A draw eliminates Ajax and leaves Olympiacos waiting for other results. With an Ajax victory, the Dutch would still be dependent on other matches, while the Greeks would be eliminated.
This is the only match with nothing at stake: Arsenal is already first, Kairat is already last and eliminated.
With a win, Sporting could enter the Top 8 depending on other results. A draw would qualify the Portuguese for the playoffs, with a remote chance of Top 8; Athletic would remain in waiting. If Athletic wins, both would go to the playoffs.
A big win for Atleti, combined with favorable results, could mean the Top 8. A draw sends the Colchoneros to the playoffs and eliminates the Norwegians. With a win, Bodø can hope for the playoff.
With a win, Inter should hope for a slip-up from 5 teams between 4th (in the case of Liverpool, a k.o is needed) and 14th place to enter the Top 8. In case of a draw between PSG and Newcastle, 4 clubs need to falter, while in case of a goal spree, it could even eliminate Dortmund. A draw sends both to the playoffs. A Borussia win would still leave them tied to very complex scenarios to enter the top eight.
If Barça wins convincingly, they enter the top eight and eliminate the Danes. With a draw, Copenhagen would depend on other results for the playoff. A Danish win would guarantee playoff access.
With a win, Real enters the Top 8 mathematically and eliminates Benfica. A draw eliminates the Portuguese and leaves Madrid among the top eight unless there are surprising combinations. With a win, Benfica can hope for the playoffs, while Real would have to wait for other results.
Marseille's victory: playoff assured and Brugge eliminated. A draw opens up every scenario, from qualification to elimination for both. If Brugge wins, a playoff is certain for the Belgians and Marseille waits.
With Eintracht already eliminated, Spurs just need to win — or even draw depending on results — to enter the top eight.
Villarreal is already eliminated. With a win, Leverkusen secures the playoff. A draw or loss would force the Germans to look at other matches.
Liverpool victory: Top 8 and Qarabag dependent on other results. Draw: Reds almost certain of Top 8, Qarabag towards the playoff. Qarabag victory: playoff assured for the Azerbaijanis and Liverpool at risk of exiting the Top 8.
With a win, City is almost certain of the Top 8. Draw or Galatasaray win would guarantee both the playoff.
If Juve wins, they can enter the Top 8 with a series of favorable combinations; Monaco would risk elimination. A draw sends the Bianconeri to the playoffs and forces the French to wait. With a win, Monaco is certain of the playoff.
Chelsea victory: Top 8 assured and Napoli eliminated. Draw: English at risk of exiting the Top 8, Napoli still dependent on other results. Napoli victory: playoff almost certain and Chelsea out of the Top 8. This is the scenario for the Maradona match, one of the most anticipated of the evening.
Slavia already eliminated. Pafos must win and hope to enter the playoff. Draw or loss means elimination.
The winner enters the top eight. A draw might suffice for both, the loser risks slipping to the playoffs.
If Bayern wins by at least five goals and Arsenal loses, the Germans would finish first. A draw might not suffice for PSV. With a win, the Dutch would almost assure the playoff.
Atalanta victory: playoff guaranteed and, with a favorable combination, also Top 8. The draw eliminates Union and sends Atalanta to the playoffs. With a win, Union would need to hope for a series of favorable results.
The combinations are endless and a single goal can change everything. This is the current picture of the Champions League: in a few hours, it might seem like pure fantasy.
This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇮🇹 here.
📸 LISELOTTE SABROE - Ritzau/Scanpix
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