RTI Esporte
·21 September 2026
Corinthians and rivals on relegation alert in the Brasileirão, see

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Yahoo sportsRTI Esporte
·21 September 2026

The 3-1 defeat to Fluminense this Sunday left Corinthians on alert in the fight against relegation in the Brazilian Championship. The result at Neo Química Arena had a direct impact on the Infobola projection, the website run by mathematician Tristão García.
According to the survey, Corinthians now has a 23% risk of relegation. With 32 points, the team sits in a balanced position in the lower part of the standings and needs to start picking up points again to avoid letting threatened clubs get closer.
The round also featured results involving direct rivals. Grêmio drew 0-0 with Palmeiras, while Vitória lost at home to Cruzeiro. Those results kept the battle tightly packed among several teams.
The draw left Grêmio with 29 points and a 53% risk of relegation, according to Infobola. Renato Portaluppi’s side remains among the clubs with the greatest chance of going down in the projection.
Vitória reached 33 points and appears with a 13% risk of relegation. Vasco, with 31 points, is at 21%, while Corinthians has 32 and is also at 23%. The closeness in points keeps the battle open in the lower part of the table.
Among the clubs closest to the relegation zone, Internacional presents one of the most delicate scenarios. Colorado has 28 points and shows a 66% risk of relegation in Infobola’s projection.
Chapecoense and Clube do Remo account for the highest percentages. Verdão do Oeste Catarinense, with 18 points, has a 99% risk of relegation, while Leão Azul, on 23, appears with 94%.
The situation changes among the teams that have managed to build a bigger cushion in the standings. Botafogo, with 35 points, has a 4% risk, while São Paulo, Red Bull Bragantino, Coritiba, and Santos appear with just 1%.
Infobola’s survey takes into account the teams’ points and performances to calculate relegation probabilities. For that reason, the percentages can change significantly with each round.
For the team coached by Fernando Diniz, the defeat to Fluminense increased the need to respond. With 32 points, the side is still close to rivals who are also fighting to move away from the bottom of the table.
The result in Rio de Janeiro, therefore, did more than just change the league standings. The mathematical projection now also points to a scenario requiring greater caution for Corinthians in the final stretch of the Brasileirão.
This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇧🇷 here.