Corinthians’ chances of reaching the Libertadores drop, see the latest odds | OneFootball

The Corinthians were defeated by Ceará this Sunday at the Neo Química Arena, 1-0, moving further away from the G7 of the Brasileirão. As a result, the team's chances of securing a spot in next year's Libertadores have diminished.

According to data from the Mathematics Department of UFMG (Federal University of Minas Gerais), which calculates football probabilities, Corinthians now has only 1.1% chance of competing in the continental tournament in 2026.

Besides Timão, seven other teams in the Brasileirão are in the race. Palmeiras, Flamengo, and Cruzeiro are already mathematically guaranteed, while Mirassol has over 99% chances. The other six clubs are: Bahia (97.6%), Botafogo (95.4%), Fluminense (85.6%), São Paulo (11.4%), Atlético-MG (6%), and Vasco (1.6%).

G6 becomes G7

It's not just the top six that will secure a spot in the 2026 Libertadores. This is because the G6 has already become G7, as Palmeiras and Flamengo, the leader and runner-up of the Brasileirão, respectively, are competing in this year's continental final.

Thus, with one of them inevitably becoming the champion and securing a spot in the next edition, another spot opens up via the league.

Rise halted

Corinthians had their rise halted in recent matches. Dorival Júnior's team was coming off three consecutive victories but lost in succession to Red Bull Bragantino and Ceará, remaining stagnant in the middle of the Brasileirão table.

Timão occupies the 13th position in the tournament, with 42 points. The distance to the G7 is nine points, the same difference as the team to the Z4.

Next Corinthians match

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇧🇷 here.