Corinthians’ chances of reaching the Libertadores rise, see the latest odds | OneFootball

The Corinthians defeated Grêmio last Sunday at the Neo Química Arena, 2-0, and moved closer to the G6 of the Brazilian Championship. As a result, the team saw its chances of securing a spot in next year's Libertadores increase.

According to data from the Mathematics Department of UFMG (Federal University of Minas Gerais), which calculates football probabilities, Corinthians now holds a 14.7% chance of competing in the continental tournament in 2026.

Besides Timão, nine other teams in the Brasileirão are in the race. Palmeiras and Flamengo are practically qualified, while Cruzeiro and Mirassol already have over 99% chances. The other five clubs are: Bahia (96.8%), Botafogo (74.5%), Fluminense (55.6%), São Paulo (36.7%), and Vasco (16.5%).

Some teams still have remote chances. These are the cases of Grêmio (2.2%) and Atlético-MG (1.8%). Ceará, Red Bull Bragantino, Internacional, and Santos have less than 1% possibility.

G6 should become G7

It's worth mentioning that not only the top six should earn a spot in the 2026 Libertadores. This is because the G6 should become G7, as Palmeiras and Flamengo, leader and runner-up of the Brasileirão, respectively, are competing in this year's continental final.

Thus, with one of them inevitably becoming the champion and securing a spot in the next edition, another spot opens up via the points tournament.

Corinthians on the rise

Corinthians is experiencing a moment of ascension this season. Dorival Júnior's team has finally stopped oscillating and has strung together a sequence of three consecutive victories in the Brazilian Championship, aiming for new goals.

Timão took a while to get going with Dorival. Suffering from absences and unable to register new players due to a transfer ban, the team experienced ups and downs and only now managed to achieve a positive streak.

Next Corinthians match

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇧🇷 here.