Cup and continental demands shape Brasileirão round 22 | OneFootball

Cup commitments and recent rest periods will shape strategies in Brasileirão round 22, with several strugglers also in the Copa do Brasil quarter-finals. Vitória are 13th with 26 points, while Santos, Inter, Grêmio and Vasco occupy 15th to 18th on 22.

Grêmio edged Mirassol 1-0 on Wednesday, then face São Paulo on Saturday at 16:00. According to Globo.com, São Paulo had 12 days to reset and must also weigh a Sudamericana trip to La Paz on Tuesday to meet Bolívar at 3,600 metres.

In Rio, Botafogo host Fluminense on Saturday at 21:00. Botafogo had 12 days off, Fluminense arrive after Copa do Brasil elimination, and both return to continental action next midweek.

Saturday: Grêmio v São Paulo 16:00, Remo v Atlético-MG 18:30, Coritiba v Chapecoense 20:30, Botafogo v Fluminense 21:00. Sunday: Cruzeiro v Mirassol 11:00, Palmeiras v Internacional 16:00, Santos v Athletico-PR 18:30, Flamengo v Vitória 19:30.

Favoritismos, with economist Bruno Imaizumi, evaluates each match by recent 60-day home and away form and the last six games, plus aerial and ground effectiveness. Penalties, direct free-kicks and olímpicos do not count for aerial or ground influence.

Probabilities use an expected goals model built on 127,306 shots from 5,144 Brasileirão matches since 2013 by Gato Mestre, considering distance, angle, venue, move origin, body part, first-time finishing, match time and score state. Player output is benchmarked by position and footedness. A shot from the D carries about 0.07 xG.

Source: Globo.com

“Artificial intelligence was used to assist in creating this article based on reporting from the original source quoted.”