Papo na Colina
·24 November 2025
Defeat leaves Vasco facing greater relegation risk, see more

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Yahoo sportsPapo na Colina
·24 November 2025

Vasco received some bad news from the numbers this Monday (24). After the defeat to Bahia and the combination of results from the 35th round, the mathematics department of UFMG updated the relegation probabilities. The risk for Vasco, which was minimal, has increased.
According to the calculations, the probability of relegation for the Gigante da Colina has risen to 2.6%. Although the number is still low compared to direct rivals, the warning sign has lit up due to stagnation at 42 points and the rise of teams like Vitória.
Vasco is in 13th place. Right behind, Internacional has an 8.1% risk. The real fight against relegation mainly involves Vitória (44.4%) and Santos (54.6%), which are the first teams outside and inside the Z4, respectively.
While Vasco tries to ensure mathematical permanence, other clubs are experiencing greater dramas. Juventude is "virtually relegated," with a 98% risk of falling. Sport, at the bottom, has already confirmed its mathematical relegation (100%).
Fortaleza is also in a critical situation, with an 89.9% chance of falling. For Fernando Diniz's team, the order is to score points in home games against Internacional and Mirassol to eliminate this 2.6% risk as quickly as possible.

Coutinho returns to the team and could be the breath of quality in the quest for victories – Photo: Maxi Franzoi/AGIF
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This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇧🇷 here.









































