Find out what's at stake this Sunday in the 2025 Brasileirão | OneFootball

Although Flamengo is already celebrating the title of the Brasileirão, the 38th round is packed with decisions spread across the table: direct spot in the Libertadores, conditional G8, qualification for the South American Cup, and a fierce battle against relegation involving five clubs. Except for the consolidated G4 and the two already relegated, everyone is playing for something. Additionally, each position awards clubs a different cash prize, adding even more intensity to the matches.

Defined G4

Flamengo's victory over Ceará, combined with the decline in performance of the pursuers, consolidated a G4 that will not change. Palmeiras, Cruzeiro, and Mirassol close the block right behind the champion and enter directly into the group stage of the 2026 Libertadores. Even though the last round reserves heavy clashes, the table is already frozen at the top.

Direct spot in the Libertadores group stage

Fluminense, Bahia, and Botafogo are fighting point by point for the fifth position, the last direct access to the Libertadores group stage, at least in the current scenario. The duel between Fluminense (5th) and Bahia (6th) at Maracanã is decisive. Whoever wins secures an immediate passport to the continental tournament. In case of a draw, Botafogo (7th) comes into play: if they beat Fortaleza at Nilton Santos, they take fifth place.

There is also a parallel component: if Cruzeiro or Fluminense win the Copa do Brasil, the G5 turns into G6, opening another direct spot.

G8 in play: a spot that can become real

The eighth position has also gained relevance. This is because, if Cruzeiro or Fluminense win the Copa do Brasil, the eighth-placed team in the Brasileirão will inherit a place in the Libertadores playoffs.

In the current scenario, São Paulo occupies this spot with a reasonable lead and depends on itself. A defeat to Vitória combined with a triumph of Bragantino (9th) over Internacional could reverse the order.

Spots in the South American Cup: tight competition up to 14th place

The South American zone is expected to extend up to the 14th place, as the distribution can increase depending on the performance of Corinthians and Vasco in the Copa do Brasil.

Timão and Grêmio play with a small margin but depend solely on themselves. Vasco and Atlético-MG have a direct confrontation at Arena MRV that can completely reorganize the middle range. Just below, Santos, Ceará, and Fortaleza still see the possibility of qualifying, if they combine good results with stumbles from direct rivals.

Battle against relegation: five clubs for two spots

It's at the bottom of the table where the greatest tension of the round lies. With Juventude and Sport already relegated, two spots are still open in the Z4, and five clubs are trying to escape them.

The most critical scenario is Internacional's, which reaches the final round with the highest probability of falling. Vitória appears just above, also in the Z4. Fortaleza, Ceará, and Santos are in the group trying to avoid the drop, each with its condition:

Check out the matches that conclude the championship

Sunday (12/07) – all matches at 4 PM

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇧🇷 here.