Grêmio v Vasco, Brasileirão preview, xG trends and survival stakes | OneFootball

Grêmio v Vasco, Brasileirão preview, xG trends and survival stakes | OneFootball

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·11 September 2026

Grêmio v Vasco, Brasileirão preview, xG trends and survival stakes

Article image:Grêmio v Vasco, Brasileirão preview, xG trends and survival stakes

Grêmio host Vasco in a relegation scrap in the Brasileirão, with the home side 15th on 28 points and the visitors 17th on 25.

According to Globo.com, its Favoritismos analysis draws on recent home and away form plus an xG database to frame the trends.


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Vasco have not beaten their rivals away in Série A since 2006. In the 20-team points era Grêmio lead this fixture with 12 wins, two draws and one defeat.

As hosts in the second round, Grêmio have the league’s most efficient attack, scoring once every 5.8 attempts.

Vasco are the least resistant visitors under pressure in this second round, conceding a goal every 6.2 opposition shots. Since matchday 20 they have needed 39 attempts per away goal, the second worst rate in that span.

Defensively, Grêmio are allowing one goal for every 26.5 opposition efforts, underlining strong resistance.

Both clubs are also into the Copa do Brasil semi-finals and, if they advance, could meet in the final.

“Artificial intelligence was used to assist in creating this article based on reporting from the original source quoted.”

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