Leeds v Aston Villa: Back Whites to pick up a point & Cash in on 10/1 player props picks | OneFootball

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Just one win in six for Leeds but they still started the round a place outside the relegation zone, which they'd happily take come the end of the season.

Daniel Farke's side had two bad away defeats before the international break, but they've done all their best work at home, winning eight of their 11 points this season at Elland Road.

The hosts are 19/10 for a third home win of the season, but it'll be tough as they're up against a Villa side very much in form with eight wins in the past 10 matches and five wins from six in the Premier League - including beating Man City, Spurs and Bournemouth.

Unai Emery's side are favourites at 31/20 but like Leeds most of their recent good results have come at home, with just one win from their last six away league games.

Leeds have a win, a loss and a draw in their last three home league games, so not much consistency there, apart from the fact that both teams scored and over 2.5 goals landed in each one. Both teams to score is 20/23 and more fancied than the overs, with three goals or more priced up at 21/20.

I'd edge that way myself as Farke especially really needs something out of this game and both managers will be safety first in their approach. The stats suggest a half-time stalemate is likely - Leeds have been level at the break in four of five at home and Villa haven't scored inside the first half hour in any away game so far.

Villa are the better side in much better form and Emery hasn't lost to a promoted side as Villa boss, but Farke needs to avoid defeat here and the visitors aren't the best on the road - if you take similar games in similar atmospheres at Everton and Sunderland this season Villa drew those two, and I can see this one going the same way.

Back dangerous Donyell to find the net

Donyell Malen is actually Villa's top scorer in the league so far this season, and he continued his scoring form over the international break with a goal for the Dutch making it three in his last four appearances for club and country.

Malen is 23/10 to continue his goalscoring streak - and with 14 attempts on goal and seven on target over those last four games, only three being starts, there's plenty of volume to suggest he can strike again.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin is 7/1 to score a header which I'd actually take above the straight 5/2 anytime goalscorer price as that's how Leeds will try and supply him - that's if he starts, so check the teamsheets.

Lucas Nmecha started, and scored, against Nottingham Forest before the break and would seem the more likely Leeds scorer at 13/5.

That strike was just his second league goal of the season - but with both being the opening goal of the games and with us not expecting too many here then maybe a punt on Nmecha being first goalscorer at 13/2 is worth a try if you fancy him to find the net.

Cash in on player props

I always like a Bet Builder in these games, and we'll pick one out here, but a single worth backing is Matty Cash to have 1+ shot on target at 21/10 as he's been pretty prolific of late.

Along with scoring against Man City, Cash has hit the target in his last three Villa appearances in the league, and this bet has landed in five of his past seven so looks a nice price here.

We can include Cash in a more speculative Bet Builder as well though, adding Malen to also hit the target for reasons outlined above with his recent run of hitting the target.

We obviously need fouls involved in games like this, with Ethan Ampadu leading the way for Leeds with 16 this season and at least two in five of his last six league games - and in a crucial game he'll be even more fired up and getting stuck in.

And in terms of winning fouls, there aren't many better than John McGinn, who has been fouled 20 times in the Premierr League with multiple fouls against him in six outings.

Three of those outings have come away from home as well - at Everton, Brentford and Sunderland and we're expecting to be a similar type of game to those.