Levski Sofia vs Universitatea Craiova Prediction: Champions League Qualifier Preview | OneFootball

Levski Sofia vs Universitatea Craiova: kickoff and stakes

Levski Sofia host Universitatea Craiova at the Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov in Sofia on July 22, 2026, kicking off at 17:30 UTC in the Champions League’s second qualifying round. Both clubs arrive unbeaten through their opening ties, and the sample so far shows almost identical numbers on each side of the draw.

Neither side has lost in its last two outings, both have scored five goals and conceded just one, and both kept a clean sheet along the way. That symmetry is exactly why our model can’t separate this one cleanly, and it leans toward a hedge rather than a straight winner.

Quick pick

Levski Sofia to win

@ 2.12

Confidence 35% Form DW

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Form and context

Levski arrive on a “DW” run, a draw followed by a win, for a 67% last-five form reading. Craiova’s log shows back-to-back wins, “WW”, for a perfect 100% in that same window. Both teams have scored 2.5 goals per game on average across their last two matches and conceded 0.5, and each has posted one clean sheet. Levski have rotated between a 4-3-3 and a 4-4-2, while Craiova have stuck with the same 3-4-3 shape in both matches, suggesting a settled system heading into Sofia.

Recent form

Levski Sofia DW 67% 5–1

Universitatea Craiova WW 100% 5–1

Last 5 matches · last-5 points % · goals for–against

The model’s read

Our model gives Levski Sofia a 35% chance of winning outright, with the draw also priced at 35% and Craiova at 30%. Its formal advice is a double chance on Levski Sofia or the draw, effectively backing the 70% combined slice rather than picking a single outcome in a match this close. On its underlying comparison metrics, Craiova edge the recent-form read (60 to Levski’s 40), but the model rates both sides level on attack and defence (50-50 apiece), and its overall composite score has the visitors only slightly ahead, 53.3 to 46.7.

Champions LeagueWed 22 Jul · 17:30

Levski Sofia v Universitatea Craiova

12.1210Bet X3.35Dafabet 23.85Betano

Model pick

Levski Sofia to win

35%

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Odds and value

Levski Sofia are the market’s outright favourites for this leg, though the gap to Craiova is not wide, reflecting the same tight picture our model describes. With the sides so close on paper, the double chance line the model recommends looks like the more sensible way to engage with this fixture than betting on a clean home or away win. Odds move between now and kickoff, so check the live price before placing anything.

Our prediction

We’re siding with the model here: Levski Sofia or the draw is the pick, built on the 70% combined probability across those two outcomes and the tight underlying numbers between two unbeaten sides. A clear-cut home or away win looks like the bigger risk in a tie this evenly matched.

SheKicks verdict

Levski Sofia to win @ 2.12

Confidence 35% Suggested stake 4/10

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Track record

Our tips have gone 51-31 across 82 settled picks this season, a 62.2% win rate, with 5 still open. That has produced a real profit of 7.46 units at a 9.1% ROI, a solid return rather than a spectacular one, and every pick still carries its own risk regardless of the history behind it.

SheKicks model — verified tipping record

36Tips settled

26–10Win–loss

72%Strike rate

+38.8%ROI

+13.98Profit (units)

Recent:WLWWWWLLLLLW

Level stakes to the price advertised at time of tip. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 18+

Prices shift fast in the run-up to a European qualifier, so treat any number you see here as a snapshot rather than a guarantee it will still be on offer at kickoff.

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