Betting.Betfair.com
·12 April 2026
Man United v Leeds: Back in-form hosts to have eight or more Shots on Target at 13/5

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·12 April 2026

When Manchester United kick off at home to Leeds United on Monday night it will have been 24 days since they last played a competitive game which, in the current era and stage of the season, seems ridiculous. To put that into context, since United last played a game Arsenal will have played four times in the space of 20 days!
Of course, the rest should be to United's benefit, and with them being the most in-form Premier League team over the last 10 games - or since Michael Carrick took over as interim boss if you like - they'll fancy their chances of picking up another three points on Monday night.
United have won seven (D2-L1) of their 10 games under Carrick including victories over Arsenal, Manchester City and Aston Villa, and they have won all five games at Old Trafford in that spell. They're up to third in the table, seven points ahead of Chelsea in sixth going in to Matchday 32, so they're in a great position to qualify for next season's Champions League.
Harry Maguire will be unable to celebrate his contract extension by playing in this game as he serves a suspension, but the rest of the United starting XI should be very familiar to how they've lined up in recent matches. Well-rested and in good form, United are in a very good place.
Leeds have only played one competitive game since they last played a Premier League match on 21 March, and it was a successful one, getting the better of West Ham on penalties in last week's FA Cup quarter-final.
That win did come at a cost however, as both Joe Rodon and Anton Stach - who have started 54 Premier League games between them this season - were both forced off with injury and will miss Monday night's trip to Old Trafford.
Despite sitting 15th in the table, Daniel Farke's men remain in deep relegation trouble with only a three-point cushion over 18th-placed Tottenham, who fell into the relegation zone when West Ham beat Wolves on Friday night.
Leeds are on a run of just two wins in their last 14 Premier League games, and those victories both came at Elland Road. Away from home the Whites have won just once all season, and that came all the way back in September at rock-bottom Wolves.
They've also failed to score in each of their last four Premier League games, so despite their excellent FA Cup run, they're the definition of an out-of-from team.
In the Match Odds market, Manchester United are the obvious favourites at 8/13 to win the game with Leeds at 4/1 and the Draw priced up at 16/5. It's not my type of price for a single, but I believe odds of 8/13 are extremely fair for a home win and I will definitely get the Red Devils on side later in this preview.
In a nutshell, we have the Premier League's most in-form team playing at home - where they've won five out of five under their new boss - against a Leeds team that hasn't won a league game on the road since September, that hasn't scored in four league matches, and who will be without two of their key players. A home win is a no-brainer selection for me.
Below you can follow the Betfair Exchange Match Odds market which will update in real time.
Monday 13 April, 8.00pm
Five wins out of five with 12 goals scored tells you that United have been excellent at Old Trafford since Carrick took over and something that really stands out is the amount of shots on target they've been registering.
In every one of those five home games the Red Devils had at least six shots on target and they're averaging eight shots on target per game on home soil. They had seven shots on target against title-chasing Manchester City and they registered 11 and 10 shots on target against bottom half teams Crystal Palace and Tottenham respectively.
Against relegation-threatened Leeds, who love to attack themselves which can often result in open, entertaining games, it's not difficult to envisage Man United having plenty of shots on target again.
You can back six of them - something they've done in every home game under Carrick - at 4/6, but I'm more than happy to make my best bet of the game United to have eight shots on target at 13/5.
Much of Manchester United's good recent form can be put down to the exploits of their star man Bruno Fernandes. He's been excellent all season in fairness but now playing in his much preferred attacking midfielder role under Carrick his numbers have been superb.
The 31-year-old registered four assists in his first three games under Carrick, and most recently, in his four March games he registered six goal involvements (two goals, four assists). His 16 Premier League assists this season means he has double the amount of any other player, and in fact if you counted only his assists in his last 10 games (eight) he'd still be joint top of the standings.
Against Leeds, Fernandes has an excellent record, registering eight goal involvements (six goals, two assists) in just six matches, so when you marry up his current form with his past performances against the Whites then he becomes an obvious selection for another goal involvement.
You can back him at 7/4 to score anytime, but I prefer the 13/10 about him registering an assist. United are excellent at set pieces, especially corners, and with Fernandes the man who takes most of those dead ball plays, in addition with his quite superb passing ability, I'm happy to back him to register an assist on Monday night and boost those odds slightly by adding a home win.
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