Midweek Football Cheat Sheet: Best bets for Premier League Matchday 29 | OneFootball

Get the bests bets for Premier League Matchday 29

Get the best bets for the midweek Premier League matchday 29 from Betfair football experts who cover key games in the title race and relegation battle...

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Tuesday Premier League tips

19:30 - Everton v Burnley: Back goals

Mark Stinchcombe: Despite admirably coming back from 3-0 down against Brentford to 3-3, Burnley once again lost, by a scoreline of 4-3 after two cruelly disallowed goals. It means they've now lost 18 of their last 19 Premier League matches and were dumped out of the FA Cup at home 2-1 by League One Mansfield.

Everton generally take care of Burnley at home with five wins in their last six meetings but the Toffees have only won four games at the their new Hill Dickinson Stadium all season so they can't be backed at 4/7. Instead we'll chance goals after both sides' recent uptick in goal heavy games. Eight of Burnley's last 12 matches have seen Over 2.5 goals and, while Everton's rate hasn't been at the same level, it looks like there should have been more with seven of their last 10 matches seeing greater than 2.5 expected goals.

Burnley have scored three or more by themselves in two of their last three Premier League matches, after both times going 2-0 down, as it looks like they've still got plenty of fight left in them.

19:30 - Leeds v Sunderland: Back home win

The Opta Stat:

Five of the last six Premier League matches between two newly promoted sides have been won by the home team (D1); this is as many home wins as the previous 26 between promoted clubs in the division beforehand (6 draws, 15 away wins).

20:15 - Wolves v Liverpool: Go low on goals

Mike Norman: Despite Liverpool being in a seven-goal thriller on Saturday I'm going to follow a pattern of their most recent away games and back Under 2.5 Goals here at 6/4.

Slot's men won both of their last two Premier League away games 1-0, and away to other relegation-threatened  teams this season they won 1-0 at Burnley and 2-0 at West Ham.

Seven of Wolves' last 10 Premier League home games have resulted in either themselves or their opponents failing to score, and they've tended to stay in games for long periods recently.

These two sides meet again on Friday night in the FA Cup fifth round and the last thing Wolves will want going into that game is a heavy home defeat. I can see them playing very defensively here so a low-scoring game is worth chancing.

Wednesday Premier League tips

19:30 - Aston Villa v Chelsea: Back 10/1 Bet Builder

Paul Higham: I like a Bet Builder combo involving Villa's two biggest foulers in Matty Cash and Morgan Rogers - both have 35 Premier League fouls against their names and will be in the thick o thr scrap against a combative Chelsea side.

Rogers is 6/5 for 2+ fouls, which he's managed in eight games at Villa Park this season, while Cash is 11/10 for the same 2+ fouls and with 10 fouls in his past eight home games he's another top candidate at a decent price.

It's 11/4 for that double, but we can give it a huge boost by adding Ollie Wtakins at 9/5 for 2+ shots on target in the hope he'll have another big day against the Blues - after hitting the target four times in just 33 minutes at Stamford Bridge.

He's had multiple shots on target in two games since and he's got that quick movement that even in a packed box could get him half a yard to get an attempt away, even if just half chances - so although a goal could be hard to come by he could test out Robert Sanchez.

19:30 - Man City v Nottm Forest: Back hosts to lead at break and full-time

Mark O'Haire: Manchester City came through Leeds' onslaught on Saturday to keep the pressure on Arsenal at the top of the Premier League. Pep Guardiola's posse now return to their formidable Etihad Stadium base for Wednesday night's match-up with Nottingham Forest; the Citizens have tabled 18 wins from 22 home games this season.

City have done most of their damage before half-time, making strong starts across the campaign as standard. The Blue Moon have led at the interval in 17 of those 22 Etihad encounters and have been the best side before the break in the Premier League - holding a first-half advantage in 19 of 28 tussles, including 11 of 14 as hosts.

Nottingham Forest made a sloppy start in defeat at Brighton on Sunday with the Tricky Trees potentially fatigued following their Europa League exploits. The Reds have little time to reset and have made a habit of slow starts in 2025/26, trailing at the break in nine of 14 away days, scoring just four times before the half-time oranges are shared out in those 14 EPL road trips.

With that in-mind, the odds-against offering on Man City/Man City  2.04.

19:30 -  Fulham v West Ham: Back goals in 4/1 treble

Jimmy The Punt: This game screams goals. Of Fulham's last 11 matches, ten have delivered for over 2.5 backers. Marco Silva's side play on the front foot, commit numbers forward but do offer up big chances at the end other. And when their matches open up, goals tend to follow.

West Ham arrive with genuine attacking punch of their own. With Crysencio Summerville and Jarrod Bowen providing thrust from the flanks and central areas, there's pace, directness and end product. Across their last nine games they're scoring at 1.7 goals per match and the underlying data is even stronger, with expected goals at 2.05 per game. These are not numbers you'd associate with a team odds-on to be relegated.

19:30 - Brighton v Arsenal: Best bets for Matchday 29

The Opta Stat:

Viktor Gyökeres has been involved in six goals in his last seven away games for Arsenal in all competitions (5 goals, 1 assist), having scored just twice (no assists) in his first 12 on the road for the Gunners.

20:15 - Newcastle v Man Utd: Back Fernandes in 22/1 Bet Builder

Dave Tindall: It's pretty easy to justify backing Bruno Fernandes to Assist based on his numbers this season. The Portuguese playmaker has 13 (six more than anyone else) in 25 matches so his assist rate is slightly better than one in two.

His odds for another are 15/8 and that has to appeal with Newcastle shipping plenty of goals. The Magpies haven't managed a clean sheet in their last 11 outings while they've conceded 10 times in their last four home games in all competitions. I'll make that the main bet here.

The other pro-Man Utd bet is an anytime scorer punt on Benjamin Sesko at 8/5. The giant Slovenian is thriving under Carrick and his winner at Everton last time made it seven goals in eight games.

A Bet Builder featuring a Sesko goal and a Fernandes assist pays around 4/1. If that were to happen in a draw, we're getting 22/1. And remember, the Betfair Sportsbook have a free bet offer