OPTA updated projections on Newcastle United chances in Champions League after Union S-G win | OneFootball

How will Newcastle United get on in the Champions League this 2025/26 season?

Two matches played already.

The 2-1 defeat to Barcelona at St James’ Park.

Then the 4-0 away win against Union S-G.

Six more league ones to go, next up Benfica at home in three weeks time.

Each of the 36 clubs playing four games away and four at home.

Opta have now done their updated Champions League 2025-26 Projections for Newcastle United and the other 35 clubs, following the second round of matches completed last night.

These are the updated predictions via Opta – 2 October 2025:

So the updated Opta predictions for Newcastle United:

Predicted number of points after the eight league matches – 12.93 points from a possible 24.

Percentage chance of ending up very top of league stage after the eight games – A 1.29% possibility of doing so.

Percentage chance of ending up in the play-offs – A 63.45% chance of finishing between 9th and 24th.

Percentage chance of reaching the quarter-finals – A 34.53% chance of getting to the last eight.

Percentage chance of reaching the semi-finals – A 16.35% chance of getting to the last four.

Percentage chance of reaching the final – A 6.85% chance of getting to the last two.

Percentage chance of winning the Champions League – A 3.13% chance of winning the whole thing! (Opta rating Newcastle United as the tenth most likely winners…)

Union Saint-Gilloise 0 Newcastle 4 – Wednesday 1 October 2025 5.45pm

Goals:

Newcastle United:

Woltemade 17, Gordon 43 pen, 64 pen, Barnes 80

Union S-G:

Possession was Newcastle 57% Union S-G 43%

Total shots were Newcastle 13 Union S-G 17

Shots on target were Newcastle 6 Union S-G 6

Corners were Newcastle 5 Union S-G 7

Touches in the box Newcastle 24 Union S-G 15

Newcastle team v Union S-G:

Pope, Trippier (Schar 83), Thiaw, Botman, Burn, Bruno (Hall 73), Joelinton (Miley 59), Tonali, Gordon, Woltemade (Osula 73), Elanga (Barnes 73)

Unused subs:

Ramsdale, Thompson, Krafth, Willock, Jacob Murphy, Alex Murphy

(Union Saint-Gilloise 0 Newcastle 4 – Match ratings and comments on all Newcastle United players – Read HERE)

((Union Saint-Gilloise 0 Newcastle 4 – Instant Newcastle United fan/writer reaction – Read HERE)