Portland Thorns vs Chicago Red Stars Betting Tips: NWSL Preview and Pick | OneFootball

Portland Thorns host Chicago Red Stars on Sunday, 13 September, kicking off at 23:00 UTC in NWSL regular-season play. It is a fixture with a clear favourite on paper: our model has Portland down as the likeliest winner, and the market prices them as firm favourites.

The Thorns carry the stronger case into this one, and our model leans their way without much hesitation. Chicago arrive as underdogs, and the odds board agrees. Below we break down what the data says, where the value sits, and the pick we are settling on.

Quick pick

Portland Thorns to win

@ 1.23

Form WWLWDWWWLDWLDWLLDLWWWDL

See the full pick & odds →

Portland Thorns vs Chicago Red Stars: match overview

NWSLSun 13 Sep · 23:00

Portland Thorns v Chicago Red Stars

11.23Pinnacle X6.20Marathonbet 210.401xBet

Model pick

Portland Thorns to win

50%

Compare all bookmakers & markets →

The NWSL season rolls into mid-September with this Sunday-night meeting. Portland at home is a proposition the model likes: the home win is its pick for this fixture, and the bookmakers have them installed as short-priced favourites. Chicago Red Stars travel needing something special to upset that read.

Form and context

Recent form

Portland Thorns WWLWDWWWLDWLDWLLDLWWWDL 67% 9–7

Chicago Red Stars LWLLLWLLLLWLWLLLLDLLWLL 20% 4–20

Last 5 matches · last-5 points % · goals for–against

Recent form and season numbers for both sides sit in the card above, updated live from our data feed. The short version: our model rates Portland clearly stronger in this matchup, and that edge holds up across the comparison measures it runs. For a broader picture of where each club sits in the table, and which players are doing the scoring, the widgets below carry the current standings and the league’s leading markswomen.

NWSL — table

#TeamPGDPtsForm

1 NJ/NY Gotham FC 23 +10 45 LDDWW

2 Washington Spirit 23 +13 43 WWLDL

3 North Carolina Courage 23 +13 39 WLWWL

4 Utah Royals 23 +10 39 LWLWL

5 San Diego Wave 23 +6 39 LWWDL

6 Portland Thorns 23 +5 38 LDWWW

Full table & odds →

NWSL — top scorers

1 A. SanchezNorth Carolina Courage 14 gls · 4 ast

2 B. BandaOrlando Pride 12 gls · 1 ast

3 S. SmithPortland Thorns 10 gls · 1 ast

4 T. ByarsSan Diego Wave 9 gls · 2 ast

5 T. RodmanWashington Spirit 8 gls · 4 ast

What our model says

The model’s verdict for this fixture is a Portland Thorns win. That is its 1X2 pick, and the live odds strip below shows the best available price from our tracked bookmakers. When the model and the market line up on the same side this comfortably, there is rarely a shouting-value angle left, but there is a dependable one: back the side both the numbers and the odds favour.

Chicago’s path to points runs through holding firm early and hoping Portland’s patience runs out. The model does not see it that way, and neither do the prices.

Odds and where the value looks

With the home win heavily backed, this is a market that already believes. The interesting question for punters is whether the favourite is worth taking at the current number or whether the goals markets offer more room. The live odds card below shows the full 1X2 board as it stands right now, with the best prices and the bookmaker offering each one.

Portland Thorns v Chicago Red Stars 11.23X6.20210.40 compare 4 books →

Odds move between now and kickoff, so always check the latest price before you place anything.

Our Portland Thorns vs Chicago Red Stars prediction

SheKicks verdict

Portland Thorns to win @ 1.23

Suggested stake 5/10

Back this at a top sportsbook →

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The pick: Portland Thorns to win. Our model names Portland as the likely winner, the bookmakers have them clear favourites, and nothing in the surrounding data argues against that side of the board. It will not make anyone rich on its own, but it is the strongest single read on this fixture, and it is the one we are putting our name to.

Our track record

SheKicks model — verified tipping record

209Tips settled

109–100Win–loss

52%Strike rate

+5.3%ROI

+11.01Profit (units)

Recent:WLWWWWWWWWLW

Level stakes to the price advertised at time of tip. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 18+

For transparency: our tracked tips have settled 454 picks, winning 231 and losing 223, a 50.9 per cent strike rate, for a profit of 19.39 units at a 4.3 per cent ROI. That is the record the model carries into this weekend, and we state it plainly whether the numbers flatter us or not.

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Betting should be fun, never a way to make money. Only stake what you can afford to lose, set deposit and time limits, and never chase losses. If gambling is affecting you or someone you know, free confidential help is available.

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