Premier League Opta Stats Betting: Back 7/2 assist tip & 14/1 Monday night Bet Builder | OneFootball

English Premier League

Sean Dyche's Everton have taken the highest percentage of their shots from set-pieces this season (40%)

Despite a losing weekend, we unearthed another assist winner at Brentford and the decision to Lay Brighton turned out to be a great shout, so the confidence remains high as we look at 10 more Opta related bets this weekend.

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Newcastle v Arsenal

Youngster Hall could have a tough afternoon

The Opta Stat:

"Newcastle's Lewis Hall averages less than a foul in a game in the Premier League, but he's Newcastle's joint most carded player in all comps with 4, and he's been booked in two of his last 3 games after committing 2+ in each of those. Bukayo Saka, meanwhile, is winning 2.1 fouls per 90 in the league so far."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Lewis Hall to commit 2 or more fouls @ 16/5

Bournemouth v Manchester City

Foden's favourite

The Opta Stat:

"Man City's Phil Foden has scored in each of his last five appearances against Bournemouth in all competitions (5 goals), also providing three assists in these games."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Phil Foden to score anytime at 17/10

Ipswich Town v Leicester City

Ipswich moving into untrustworthy territory

The Opta Stat:

"Ipswich have dropped 10 points from winning positions in the Premier League this season, with only Brentford (11) dropping more. Indeed the Tractor Boys let a two-goal lead slip to lose 4-3 in their last match."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Ipswich to be winning at half-tme @ 7/4

Liverpool v Brighton & Hove Albion

Welbeck's form not matched in the prices

The Opta Stat:

"Brighton's Danny Welbeck is looking to score in four consecutive Premier League games for the first time in his career. His six goals overall is already his joint-best return in a single campaign for the Seagulls, only netting more for any side with Manchester United in 2011-12 (9) and 2013-14 (9)."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Danny Welbeck to score anytime @ 16/5

Nottingham Forest v West Ham United

Don't ignore the main man

The Opta Stat:

"Against no side has Nottingham Forest striker Chris Wood scored more Premier League goals than he has against West Ham (7). However, those seven strikes all came in his first eight appearances against them, failing to score in any of his last four against the Hammers. Indeed, Wood has scored seven Premier League goals this season, already the most by a Nottingham Forest player in their first 10 games in a single campaign in the competition. Overall, he's scored 22 Premier League goals for the Tricky Trees, with only Bryan Roy netting more (24)."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Chris Wood to score two or more goals @ 17/2

Southampton v Everton

McNeil the set-piece king

The Opta Stat:

"Southampton conceded the third most shots from set-pieces, but those 40 shots have accumulated the highest xG against figure of all sides. Only Arsenal have conceded a higher portion of their goals from set-pieces. Dwight McNeil, meanwhile, created 25 chances this season, the next best for Everton is Jack Harrison on nine."

The Betfair Bet:

Wolverhampton Wanderers v Crystal Palace

Time up for O'Neil?

The Opta Stat:

"Jean-Philippe Mateta has scored 16 goals in his last 20 Premier League starts for Crystal Palace. Mateta's 17 Premier League goals in 2024 are the most by a Palace player in a calendar year. However, Wolves have lost their last five home Premier League matches, last enduring a longer home losing run in the league between January and April 2012 (nine). Only four previous teams have lost their opening five home games in a Premier League season: Portsmouth in 2009-10, Bolton in 2011-12, Newcastle in 2018-19 and Burnley in 2023-24."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Cunha to score in a Palace win @ 15/1

Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa

Emery to outthink Ange

The Opta Stat:

"Only Liverpool (13) and Nottingham Forest (11) have won more away Premier League points this season than Aston Villa (10 - W3 D1). Indeed, in 2024, Aston Villa have scored the most Premier League goals from subs (10) and have the most goals and assists combined from subs (10 goals, 7 assists). It is the joint most sub goals they've scored in a single year, also netting 10 in 2023."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Tottenham/Villa in the HT/FT market @ 20/1

Manchester United v Chelsea

Keep the faith in Nicolas Jackson

The Opta Stat:

"Nicolas Jackson has the second highest xG in the league with just over 6, netting six goals, ahead of Watkins, Havertz, Salah, Palmer and Solanke. He's still got the highest xG per shot of anyone in the top 10, 0.27. Indeed, he's been involved in 14 goals in his last 14 Premier League games - 10 of which have been goals."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Nicolas Jackson to score anytime @ 15/8

Fulham v Brentford

Finish the weekend with a Bet Builder

The Opta Stat:

"Brentford's Bryan Mbeumo has netted eight goals in the Premier League this season, with only Erling Haaland scoring more (11). He has netted 11 goals in his last 13 London derbies, including two goals at Craven Cottage in a 3-0 win last season. On the other hand,only Bukayo Saka (27) has created more chances in the Premier League this season than Fulham's Andreas Pereira (26), although none of those chances have been converted by his teammates yet. He's set up 11 different players, with only Tottenham's Dejan Kulusevski creating a chance for more different teammates (12)."

The Betfair Bet:

Opta Stats P/L 2024-25 -

(Recommended bet(s) of the week)

Stake: 15ptsReturn: 50.0P/L: +35.0ROI: +233%

(Overall Column)

Stake: 88ptsReturn: 129.71P/L: +41.71ROI: +47.4%

Now read more of today's best tips and previews here!

Recommended bets

Back Dwight McNeil to assist anytime @ 7/2

Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.