Gazeta Esportiva.com
·21 October 2025
Santos face greater relegation risk after setback, see the numbers

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Yahoo sportsGazeta Esportiva.com
·21 October 2025

Santos got into trouble in the Brazilian Championship and saw their chances of relegation increase after the 1-0 defeat against Vitória last Monday at Vila Belmiro, during the 29th round of the national competition.
The probability of Santos being relegated after defeating their rival Corinthians 3-1 in the 28th round was only 13.9%. Now, after the setback against Vitória, this number has increased considerably to 34.8%. The data is from UFMG (Federal University of Minas Gerais).
It is also worth remembering that Santos has one game less. The classic against Palmeiras, for the 13th round, was postponed. The match has been scheduled for the next November 15, at 9 PM (Brasília time), at Vila Belmiro.
Currently, the four clubs with the highest chances of relegation in the Brasileirão are those in the relegation zone. Sport (99.79%), Juventude (90.4%), Fortaleza (89.4%), and Vitória (44.6%) lead the list of likely relegation candidates, followed by Santos (34.8%) and Atlético-MG (12.8%).
Thus, it is possible to predict that Vitória and Santos will fight against the last spot in the relegation zone, while Atlético-MG also needs to stay alert.
The team led by Juan Pablo Vojvoda remains in 16th place, with 31 points – the same amount as Vitória, which opens the relegation zone. Despite having one game less, Peixe will not have an easy time and will need to accumulate points in the final stretch of the Brasileirão to avoid relegation for the second time.
This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇧🇷 here.
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