São Paulo boost Libertadores hopes with win, relegation unlikely | OneFootball

With the Brazilian final between Flamengo and Palmeiras confirmed in the Copa Libertadores and the important victory over Vasco at São Januário last Sunday (2), São Paulo's dream of reaching the next edition of the continent's main club competition is more alive than ever.

According to data from the Mathematics Department of the Federal University of Minas Gerais, the Morumbi club finished the 31st round with a 36.7% probability of reaching the next Libertadores.

The Tricolor reached the eighth position in the table with 44 points, three behind Fluminense, currently the seventh place.

Considering only the Brasileirão, Flamengo and Palmeiras are already guaranteed in the Libertadores. Some spots are also almost secured: Cruzeiro (99.9%), Mirassol (99.89%), and Bahia (96.8%). Theoretically, São Paulo is competing for the spot with Botafogo (74.5%), Fluminense (55.6%), Vasco (16.5%), and Corinthians (14.7%).

Remembering that the current G-7 could become G-8 if one of the top teams wins the Copa do Brasil (Cruzeiro, Fluminense, Corinthians, and Vasco are in the semifinals).

On the other hand, with Sport's defeat and Palmeiras' victory in this round, São Paulo lost any chance of being the champion or the bottom of the Brazilian league.

In both cases, due to the number of victories: the Tricolor could even reach the 65 points that Alviverde has today, but with only 19 victories, an insufficient amount since the rival already has 20.

On the other side of the table, the Pernambuco team could even reach the 41 points that São Paulo had before defeating Vasco, but they wouldn't achieve more than ten victories, while São Paulo already had 11 even before the initial whistle.

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇧🇷 here.