Saturday Football Cheat Sheet: Best bets for FA Cup fourth round and more | OneFootball

English FA Cup

Get Saturday's best bets in the FA Cup fourth round and more

It's FA Cup fourth round Saturday so get our experts' best bets for the pick of the ties as well as their tips for EFL and more...

FA Cup fourth round tips and predictions

15:00 - Man City v Salford: Back a fast start for Pep's men

Paul Higham: This game is right up Man City's street, as they've won 20 straight FA Cup ties against non-Premier League sides, scoring 82 goals, while at home they've won 11 of them on the spin by a combined 59-5 - including Exeter 10-1 in the last round and Salford 8-0 last season. Salford are making their fourth round debut but have lost their three games against Premier League sides 15-0 altogether.

With such big favourites here goals and goalscorers are prohibitive prices, especially without knowing the starting XI, so value only really comes with backing Salford to score in a City win at 7/4 but I'm not sure they'll manage it. Instead I'll go for City to do what they do so often and that's come out firing against lesser sides - they were 4-0 up at half-time against Exeter and 3-0 up at the break on Salford's visit last season.

17:45 - Aston Villa v Newcastle: Back Thiaw to threaten

Dave Tindall: Malick Thiaw is a decent option if looking to play the shots markets.The German defender slid home the opener against Spurs but only after his initial headed attempt had been saved. And it's the header element I want to play.

So far this season, he's taken 21 shots in 23 matches and 13 of those have been headers.

He's clearly an aerial threat so Thiaw to have 1 or more headed shots on target at 7/2 is worth a go. If the focus is on trying to stop giant Dan Burn, Thiaw can sometimes benefit.

20:00 - Liverpool v Brighton: Back Reds to win with goals at both ends

Paul Higham: This is Liverpool's only realistic chance of success this season as the Champions League seems like a longshot and even a top four finish will be a struggle, and they have already beaten Brighton at Anfield this season 2-0 - although the Seagulls had their fare share of chances in that one.

That was just the second time in 15 meetings that Brighton had failed to score against the Reds as there's usually bags of goals in this fixture - seven of the past 10 games have seen both teams score and eight of those had over 2.5 goals in them, with a further four going over 3.5.

I'm not sure we'll have that many but I'll back both sides to find the net. Brighton are well capable here if they come out and attack but that could help this Liverpool side - plus after winning at Man Utd in the last round doing the Old Trafford-Anfield double is a big ask for the Seagulls.

EFL tips and predictions

15:00 - Derby v Swansea: Back lively encounter at Pride Park

Jack Critchley: Derby's home woes continued last weekend as they were beaten at Pride Park by Ipswich. John Eustace's side are far better on their travels, and with back-to-back away games on the horizon, you'd expect them to continue their push for the play-offs over the next few weeks. Nevertheless, Eustace will be determined to find a solution to their issues at Pride Park, where they have managed to pick up just a single victory from their last eight outings.

Although the home fans haven't witnessed much success recently, they rarely get to see their side draw a blank. The East Midlanders have managed to net exactly one goal in each of their last seven here, and they haven't drawn a home blank since September 20th.

The hosts defence is starting to look a little depleted with Zetterstrom, Langas, Sanderson and Johnston all unavailable, which could make them vulnerable against their in-form visitors.

Swansea have been in terrific form lately and have switched from relegation outsiders to potential top six material. They've won three of their last four and are scoring freely. Van Zipotnik is enjoying a sensational season with the Slovenian, even managing to add explosive free-kicks to his repertoire.

15:00 - Bradford v Peterborough: Back Posh to continue good form

Alan Dudman: Peterborough were languishing in 24th, bottom, and seven points after 11 games under Darren Ferguson. Step forward Luke Williams as the saviour at London Road - as they are now in the top half of the table with 44 points.

Williams seems like one of those thoroughly decent blokes. Notts County fans will testify to that, and while Fergie probably lost the dressing room in that dismal run, it appears the charming Williams has it very much on side.

With a run of form that includes wins against Bolton, Wycombe and Mansfield, they look worthy of a little outside punt here at 11/5. After winning just one of their first 13 away league games against Bradford City between 1969 and 2014 (D4 L8), Peterborough United have since won on three of their last five visits to Valley Parade (L2).

15:00 - Chesterfield v Harrogate: Back comfortable win for hosts

Alan Dudman: Chesterfield are approaching 50 goals for the season as we prepare for the fourth Football League meeting between the Spirerites and Harrogate Town, with each side winning once across the previous three (D1).

Paul Cook's team usually delivers for BTTS and Over 2.5 Goals backers - a recent tally of 3-2, 2-2 and 2-1 light up their dance card.

Harrogate beat Cambridge United 2-1 last time out, ending their 20-game winless run in League Two (and my multiple). This was also the first time that Harrogate scored multiple goals in the league since a 3-2 defeat to Fleetwood Town in mid-October. And while they played well against Swindon too, I cannot be backing a side with so few points and goals.

The away side also have a miserable xG metric on the road at xG 1.00 and xA 1.98.

European football tips and predictions

17:45 - Inter v Juventus: Back at least three goals

Kevin Hatchard: Inter have had the best squad in Italy for quite some time, but it's not always translated into winning silverware. They narrowly missed out on the Scudetto, the Champions League and the Coppa Italia last season, but this term they have built an eight-point lead at the top of the table.

Christian Chivu had a tall order replacing Simone Inzaghi as Inter coach, but the former Nerazzurri defender is doing a sterling job. He has suffered just four league defeats in 24 outings, although one of those was against Saturday night's opponents Juventus. That was a crazy 4-3 reverse in Turin, a game that Inter led 3-2 going into the 82nd minute.

I'm expecting goals again here. Juventus play on the front foot under former Napoli boss Luciano Spalletti, and seven of their last 12 matches have featured three goals or more. In Serie A, five of their last six games have seen an Over 2.5 Goals bet land.

Inter have been scoring freely of late, putting five past Sassuolo and six past Pisa in recent matches. 14 of their 24 league games have featured three goals or more, and on home soil it's nine of 12 Serie A outings that have seen an Over 2.5 Goals wager hit the mark. Inter have the best attacking record in Serie A by a country mile, with 57 goals scored already.

For all these reasons, I'm pleasantly surprised to see Over 2.5 Goals trading at 2.04, and that's a great price.