Saturday Football Cheat Sheet: Best bets for Premier League, EFL and Bundesliga | OneFootball

Get the best bets on Saturday from Betfair football experts

Get the best bets for Saturday's matches in the Premier League, Championship, EFL 1 and 2 and across Europe with best bets and bet builders from Betfair football experts...

Premier League football tips and predictions

12:30 - Arsenal v Bournemouth: Gunners to be breached in nervy clash

Kevin Hatchard: Arsenal have won their last four Premier League matches, and their top-flight record at the Emirates this term is excellent, with 12 wins from 15 and only one defeat against Manchester United. If you include last season, it's just three Premier League home defeats in the last 34 games.

Arteta hopes to welcome back Bukayo Saka and Jurrien Timber from injury. After combining for the winner against Sporting as substitutes, Martinelli and Havertz are pushing for starts.

We can back Both Teams To Score here at 1.9, and that seems a fair price to me. Bournemouth have scored in 13 of their last 16 games in the league, and the reverse fixture saw the Cherries score twice. As for Arsenal, they have conceded at least once in six of their last ten Premier League home matches.

15:00 - Brentford v Everton: Back cards in crucial clash

Mark O'Haire: With the Premier League receiving five Champions League qualification places, opportunity now knocks for the likes of Brentford and Everton to achieve something quite extraordinary. The Bees and Toffees are each just three points off the top-five as we turn for home and Saturday showdown suddenly carries extra significance.

The market favours Brentford here with Keith Andrews' outfit posting the stronger data suit across the campaign. However, Everton sit fourth on the away points table and head to the capital with only Jack Grealish unavailable from their preferred set of starters. Picking a winner here isn't easy, though a cards-based angle does appeal.

There are similarities in how the two teams play. Both can be abrasive, physical and direct with the pair also regular card collectors and so a combative contest looks likely. Brentford have earned 2+ cards in 65% of EPL outings (averaging 1.94 per-game) with Everton hitting 2+ cards in 71% (avergaing 1.97). Yet Over 3.5 Cards is available at 5/6.

Referee Farai Hallam is making only his third Premier League appearance here after totals of four and three in his opening two tussles. The arbiter is averaging 3.52 cards over the season so far, brandishing 3+ in 13 of 18 Championship contests. With two bristling sides with plenty to play for, we should be capable of reaching four or more.

Mark Stinchcombe: It's now 21 of the last 22 Premier League matches Burnley have failed to win, leaving them 10 points adrift of safety with only seven games remaining. So we can immediately oppose them and back in-form Brighton who have now won four of their last five games, with the other match only a narrow 1-0 defeat to league leaders Arsenal.

Brighton are 7/10 to win but we can get odds-against of 11/10 by backing Under 4.5 goals alongside it. This isn't the gung-ho Brighton of previous seasons with only 45% of their matches going Over 2.5 goals. It means 29 of their 31 league games this season have seen fewer than five goals (94%) and Brighton won the reverse fixture 2-0.

The Opta Stats:  Liverpool are winless in their last three Premier League games against Fulham (D2 L1). Only once have they had a longer run without a league win against the Cottagers (4 games between 1966 and 1967).

Harry Wilson has been involved in 16 goals for Fulham in the Premier League this season following his goal last time out against Burnley (10 goals, 6 assists), while only Clint Dempsey (23 in 2011-12), Louis Saha (18 in 2003-04), Dimitar Berbatov (18 in 2012-13) and Luís Boa Morte (17 in 2004-05) have more goal involvements in a single campaign for the Cottagers.

EFL tips and predictions

12:30 Championship - Coventry v Sheff Wed: Sky Blues to march on

Jack Critchley: Coventry were fairly uninspiring against Hull, managing just a single shot on target. It was an uncharacteristically quiet and ineffective display in the final third from a team that has been scoring for fun this campaign. With Boro drawing and Millwall drawing, it wasn't a damaging outcome for Frank Lampard's men and they've been handed a very winnable fixture on Saturday afternoon.

Assuming that everybody in the top four is victorious this weekend, Cov will have a 12-point advantage with just four games left to play and will have virtually secured their return to the top flight. As a result, there should be a jubilant atmosphere inside the CBS, with fans expecting a few goals on Saturday lunchtime.

The hosts have averaged 2.15 goals per game here this season, netting 3+ in three of their last five outings here. The goals have been spread around with Jack Rudoni, Ephron Mason-Clark, Victor Torp and Tatsuhiro Sakamoto all chipping in.

They have dropped points just once when hosting sides outside the top ten, and this could be a long afternoon for Sheffield Wednesday.

The visitors battled hard against Leicester on Monday to secure a point at Hillsborough. They should put up a good fight, but the difference in quality will be evident from the first whistle.

15:00 League 1 - Plymouth v Exeter: Back Devon derby bet builder

Alan Dudman: Plymouth's goal threat is always going to keep backers interested and you'd be pretty disappointed if they were not up to putting Exeter away this Saturday. The Greens are leading the charge for this week's treble and they delivered in style for the column on Monday with a 3-0 thrashing against an awful Barnsley side who have very low levels both in skill and intensity these days.

Pilgrims forward Owen Oseni and Lorent Tolaj each were on the scoresheet in a perfect counter-attack sortie raid, and Tolaj is probably a little too good for this level.

Tom Cleverley's men have won four of their last five home league games (L1) and have now scored in each of their last 12 home outings since a 1-0 loss to Bradford in December. The Pilgrims last enjoyed a longer scoring run on home soil between April 2015 and January 2016 (18 games).

European football tips and prediction

17:30 - St Pauli v Bayern Munich: Back tyro to net

Kevin Hatchard: Bayern Munich produced a superb display in midweek as they secured a 2-1 first-leg win at Real Madrid in the Champions League quarter-finals. Vincent Kompany's men unapologetically played in their style, pressing high and committing numbers to the attack, despite Madrid having one of the best counter-attacking units in Europe. Although Manuel Neuer had to produce an outstanding goalkeeping display, it was a deserved win for the Bavarian giants.

Now Bayern must complete the job, and I expect wholesale changes for the weekend's visit to the Millerntor. Last weekend Bayern came back from 2-0 down to win 3-2 at Freiburg, as 20-year-old Tom Bischof scored a brace from long range, and terrific teenager Lennart Karl netted a last-gasp winner.

Bayern are nine points clear at the top of the table with six games remaining, so they can afford to drop points here. They've racked up 100 goals in the league, and are on the cusp of breaking the single-season Bundesliga scoring record, which they themselves set back in 1972.

St Pauli are in the relegation playoff spot, and they have claimed just two points from their last four matches. While they do defend well in general, they have conceded three goals in each of the league games they have played against Borussia Dortmund (3-3 draw and 3-1 defeat) and Bayern (3-1 loss at the Allianz Arena).