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·21 September 2024
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·21 September 2024
Kenny Tete: Fulham's right-back looks set for a tough afternoon
Fulham v NewcastleSaturday 21 September, 15:00
According to the match odds, this should be the most competitive Premier League game of the weekend with little to split the teams in terms of price.
That's usually a good sign for cards and fouls backers and it's the latter I'm choosing to focus on here.
Certain match-ups often deliver fouls and I feel there's one worth looking at.
Anthony Gordon has started the season in good form and is proving a tricky customer for opposition defenders with his runs, usually down the left.
He's drawn 2+ fouls in all four starts so far this season.
Here, he'll likely go up against Kenny Tete, whose foul tallies at Crven Cottage in 2024/25 have been 2-4. He's landed the 2+ fouls bet in three of his last five Premier League starts (all venues) and looks in for a tough afternoon here.
Admittedly, there is a chance Gordon could play more centrally with Alexander Isak a doubt but even if that happens, Harvey Barnes would be another tough opponent out on that side for Tete to deal with.
Meanwhile, the league's most-fouled player of last season, Bruno Guimaraes, continues to draw in the fouls and he's now been fouled at least three times in his last eight club starts.
The Toon captain's tallies so far this season have been 3-4-6-6 - putting him back at the top of that particular tree (ahead of Gordon) - yet we are getting odds-against here.
Newcastle are already the most-fouled side in the league this sason, while Fulham are sixth for fouls committed.
The referee could be a bit better - Peter Bankes was slightly below average in terms of fouls awarded per game last season.
However, I'm encouraged by the fact that this will be his first Premier League game of the season, while he also produced 25 fouls in a recent League Cup tie between West Ham and Borunemouth - an unusually-high figure for that competition.
Let's back the fouls-related treble at around 9/2.
Staked: 68pts Returned: 87.72pts P/L: +19.72pts
2023/24 P/L: +16.78pts 2022/23 P/L: +68.69pts