OneFootball
·9 March 2026
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·9 March 2026
After last season, which saw Inter and Napoli battle point by point over the course of 9 months with overtakes and counter-overtakes until Conte's team triumphed, this Serie A is heading in a completely different direction. Despite the defeat in the Derby, the advantage of Inter over Milan remains 7 points with 10 matches left until the end of the championship.
Even though everything is yet to be written and with the ever-valid maxim that in football "anything can happen," the history of Serie A in this regard is clear: there is no room for miracles and comebacks are impossible to achieve, at least with only 30 points available.
By winning this championship, Milan would achieve a legendary feat never accomplished by anyone since the introduction of the 3-point system per victory in Serie A. No one, in fact, has ever reduced a gap of at least 7 points with 10 matches remaining.
Inter, specifically, is not new to this situation: in 2008/2009, the Nerazzurri led by Mourinho, with 10 matches to go, had "only" a 7-point advantage over Ranieri's Juventus. By the end of the year, the Nerazzurri won, increasing the gap to 10 points.
Over the years, the Nerazzurri, in the years they won the Scudetto, managed to handle a 9-point lead in 2020/2021 and a whopping 16 in the year dominated by Inzaghi in the 2023/2024 season. In both cases, as mentioned, the Scudetto was never in doubt.
If we reduce the gap, there are some comebacks by teams not leading with 10 matches to go. In the 1998/1999 season, Milan was 4 points behind with 10 matches remaining, even 7 behind with 7 to go from Lazio, and eventually became the Champion of Italy.
In 1999/2000, it was Lazio that came back against Juventus, in a scenario perhaps most similar to the current one. With only 8 matches left, the Biancocelesti were 9 points behind Ancelotti's team at the time. A practically impossible scenario, unless Juventus managed to squander all the advantage, leading to the incredible finale in Perugia.
In an afternoon that went down in history and under a deluge, in the last round of the championship, Juventus fell at the Curi after over an hour of interruption due to the downpour. Eventually, play resumed - not without controversy - and Calori's goal decided it, driving the entire Biancocelesti crowd wild.
This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇮🇹 here.
📸 Marco Luzzani - 2026 Getty Images
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