See Santos’ relegation odds after matchday 36 of the Brasileirão | OneFootball

Despite defeating Sport 3-0, Santos continues to face a delicate situation in the Brazilian Championship. At the end of the 36th round, Peixe has a 51.4% chance of relegation, according to data from the Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG).

Even outside the Z4 due to goal difference, thanks to the thrashing suffered by Internacional, Santos has more chances of relegation than Colorado. In 17th place, opening the relegation zone, the Gaucho club has a 40.8% probability of relegation. That's 10.6% more than Alvinegro Praiano.

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Who breathed a sigh of relief this round was Vitória. The Bahian team hosted Mirassol at Barradão and won 2-0. Thus, Leão, which once had a 68.7% risk of relegation, now has “only” 30.6%.

Fortaleza, which had almost 90% probability of relegation in past rounds, is back in the race against the Z4. By beating Atlético-MG 1-0, the team from Palermo secured its third consecutive victory, reached 40 points, and has a 69.5% risk of relegation.

Running from behind, Ceará, which is in a bad phase and has not won in three games in the Brasileirão, has only a 7.5% probability of relegation.

Maybe the magic number won't be enough

The “magic number” of 45 points, commonly pointed out as the necessary amount to escape relegation, may not be enough this season. With two rounds remaining, Fortaleza, Internacional, Santos, Vitória, and Ceará will compete for six points to escape the Z4.

Besides them, Atlético-MG, Red Bull Bragantino, and Vasco da Gama, who are above the relegation zone and have already reached 45 points, have a small chance of relegation. Although unlikely, there has been a relegation with 45 points. In 2009, Coritiba reached the score but was relegated in its centennial year.

Two “finals”

Santos will have two major decisions ahead in the Brazilian Championship, aiming to secure its place in the 2026 Série A. First, this Wednesday, Peixe will face the already relegated Juventude at 7:30 PM (Brasília time), at Alfredo Jaconi. Then, it will host Cruzeiro at 4 PM, at Vila Belmiro, for the last round of the Brasileirão. If they win both, Santos will reach 47 points and thus ensure its stay in the elite of Brazilian football.

Who can be relegated? See numbers

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇧🇷 here.