📊 Serie A, who’s overperformed in front of goal: top 5! Moreira and...🤯 | OneFootball

📊 Serie A, who’s overperformed in front of goal: top 5! Moreira and...🤯 | OneFootball

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·23 September 2026

📊 Serie A, who’s overperformed in front of goal: top 5! Moreira and...🤯

Article image:📊 Serie A, who’s overperformed in front of goal: top 5! Moreira and...🤯

The international break gives us time every year to reflect (this time for even longer) on the opening Serie A matches. We look at the numbers, perhaps also with the Fantasy auction in mind, and ask ourselves: "Who has done better and who has done worse than expected?".

In front of goal, we can find a numerical answer: the difference between expected goals and goals scored. Here is the Top 5 of the players who have overperformed most in front of goal at the start of this season.


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1) Diego Moreira: +2.13 goals

Article image:📊 Serie A, who’s overperformed in front of goal: top 5! Moreira and...🤯

The Milan winger has lit up Serie A: whenever he comes on, he always beats his man, and physically he already looks on a completely different level compared to our league. But above all, Diego Moreira scores: 3 goals in 127 minutes played.

What is most striking is the quality of his goals, none of them were ordinary: 0.87 expected xG and as many as 3 goals scored. No one has overperformed more in the opening rounds.


2) Alphadjo Cisse: +1.52 goals

Article image:📊 Serie A, who’s overperformed in front of goal: top 5! Moreira and...🤯

We stay on Milan’s left flank, and we remember Alphadjo Cisse’s two goals well: a shot to the far post against Torino and a move created out of nothing against Juventus. 2 goals from 7 shots attempted, with 0.48 xG created.


3) Edon Zhegrova: +1.47 goals

Article image:📊 Serie A, who’s overperformed in front of goal: top 5! Moreira and...🤯

It is inevitable to find quality players in this ranking, and after a year Edon Zhegrova is proving he is one too: the 2 goals scored late in the match against Sassuolo earn him 3rd place, because over the whole season he has totaled only 0.47 xG from 5 shots attempted. A figure also influenced by the fact he has played only 72 minutes.


4) Gustavo Varela: +1.38 goals

Article image:📊 Serie A, who’s overperformed in front of goal: top 5! Moreira and...🤯

Varela has surprised everyone since his debut against Inter and repeated it in the following matches too: 4 goals scored from 2.62 xG created. The Monza striker only failed to score against Lecce, and in every game he has shown that he is always willing to shoot: 11 attempts in 4 matches, with an extremely high conversion rate.


5) Vasilije Adžić: +1.30 goals

Article image:📊 Serie A, who’s overperformed in front of goal: top 5! Moreira and...🤯

The Juventus attacking midfielder - on loan at Sassuolo - had already shown last season, with his golazo against Inter, that he knows how to hit the target. This year he is confirming it with significantly more playing time: 3 goals scored from 1.70 xG produced.

Another figure is also striking: the 3 consecutive goals against Bologna, Juventus and Monza turned around a trend that had seen him lower in this ranking, given that in the opening rounds he was at -0.33 xG.

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇮🇹 here.


📸 Marco Luzzani - 2026 Getty Images

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