Study: Flamengo have 99.9% chance of first Brasileirão goal | OneFootball

Study: Flamengo have 99.9% chance of first Brasileirão goal | OneFootball

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·29 September 2025

Study: Flamengo have 99.9% chance of first Brasileirão goal

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Flamengo reaches 54 points leading the Brazilian Championship


Flamengo defeated Corinthians last Sunday (28) by 2 to 1, at the Neo Química Arena. With the victory in São Paulo, the red-black team firmly established itself at the top of the Brazilian Championship and saw its chances of winning the title and securing a spot in the Copa Libertadores increase.

According to UFMG, Flamengo holds a 99.9% chance of securing a spot in the next edition of the Libertadores. Palmeiras and Cruzeiro have the same chance as the red-black team. Mirassol occupies the fourth position in this ranking, with 87%, while Bahia has 75%.


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On the other hand, Flamengo now has a 53% chance of winning the Brazilian Championship. Additionally, Palmeiras (30%) and Cruzeiro (15%) complete the podium at this stage of the competition.

However, it is worth mentioning that Flamengo can secure a spot in the next edition of the Libertadores if they win the competition itself. O Mais Querido is already in the semifinals, where they will face Racing (ARG) in October.

HOW IS FLAMENGO DOING?

Flamengo defeated Corinthians with a comeback at the Neo Química Arena and maintained its isolated lead in the Brazilian Championship. Now, o Mais Querido has 54 points, against 50 from Cruzeiro, the runner-up and next opponent.

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇧🇷 here.

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