Betting.Betfair.com
·21 March 2026
Sunday Football Tips: Barnes and Bowen backed plus a 8/1 Wembley Bet Builder

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·21 March 2026


Ste is backing forwards to feature this Sunday
Newcastle have shipped in 24 league goals at St James Park, their highest number this many games in since Eddie Howe took charge. There is also the seven goals conceded midweek in Catalonia to account for.
If this suggests the Black Cats have a fair chance of making it 11 games unbeaten in this derby let's not get carried away and expect a flurry of chances to come their way.Sunderland have committed to the third fewest number of shots this season. Another bitty, low-scoring affair potentially lies in wait.
With Bruno Guimaraes out, and Sandro Tonali a major doubt, there is a risk of the hosts being out-manoeuvred in midfield, but at least Howe can count on Joelinton to put himself about, the Brazilian's combative nature made for such a contest.
Naturally, this brings consequences, that we're seeing more and more of lately. Since late January the 29-year-old has been booked every 106 minutes. He is 1/1 to be booked again here.
On a more positive note, a high shot-count from Harvey Barnes can usually be relied upon. The winger has registered 3+ attempts in seven of his last 10 starts.
Villa are stuck in reverse while the Hammers are on the up. Nuno Espirito Santo's men have lost only twice in their last nine outings, a run that includes notable wins at Spurs, Burnley and Fulham.
Backing the away win at 14/5 tempts.
By stark comparison, Villa have only won twice in their last 10 league fixtures, a slump that can largely be attributed to their goals drying up. No top-flight side have scored fewer in 2026.
No team have drawn more fouls than Villa this season, and with Mateus Fernandes committing five last time out, his highest tally since joining West Ham, the midfielder is fancied to again test the referee's patience in the Midlands. Fernandes to commit 2 or more fouls offers up 21/10
It's Jarrod Bowen who most warrants attention though, particularly as he boasts a decent record in this fixture, scoring six in 13 starts. A crucial factor in West Ham's improvement, the attacker has registered seven goal involvements in eight.
Spurs have seemingly experienced their darkest hour, with a last minute equaliser at Anfield and a spirited victory over Atletico at least improving their psychological state.
At the back though problems remain, Igor Tudor's temporary charges facing 35 shots in those two games combined. Guglielmo Vicario needed to pull off five saves midweek in order to make their 3-2 win possible.
Forest over 1.5 goals at 7/4 therefore is a shout, especially as the visitors have converted 1.9 goals per 90 on their travels in 2026.
No top-flight team have conceded more goals from outside the box than Tottenham this term and acknowledging this makes Morgan Gibbs-White a viable threat from range. Seven of the attacking midfielder's last 12 efforts have been from distance so backing him for 1 or more SOT from outside the box is a great bet builder add at 2/1
Elsewhere, a caution or two for the hosts would hardly surprise. Spurs have accrued a league-high 74 yellow cards in 2025/26 and Cristian Romero is an obvious contender to extend on that dishonourable tally this Sunday.
The Argentine defender was booked in both legs vs Atletico while five of his last eight bookings have come at home.
Arsenal v Man City Sunday, 16:30Live on ITV
Until 2021, City were serial winners of this competition, lifting the League Cup six times in eight seasons. Arsenal last won it in 1993.That's the past though and of much more relevance is City's recently attained neurosis, drawing twice-over in the league and undone home and away by Los Blancos.
The Gunners meanwhile are looking imperious in their seemingly far-fetched quadruple quest. Last losing to Manchester United in late-Jan, they have conceded just nine times since, a goal every 140 minutes.
Late goals tend to feature when these sides meet. Nine of the last 12 occasions have produced a goal beyond the 80th minute while 20 of the last 30 goals have been converted in the second period.
That puts Viktor Gyokeres in the frame, with 13 of his 16 goals this term coming after the break. Five were converted in the final knockings.
Prior to any late drama we can encouragingly expect a good few chances too. The last four League Cup finals have produced a shot on target every six and a half minutes.
That leads us to Erling Haaland who took on a shot in each half at the Emirates in September, scoring from one. The Striking Viking may be struggling at present but his shot-count has dramatically spiked in his last two outings, with an attempt every 11.2 minutes against Real Madrid and West Ham combined.
Lastly, Bukayo Saka has to be fancied for foul involvements, with 3.56 per 90 in the Premier League this season.
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