Sunday Football Tips: Jimmy The Punt's best bets including 46/1 card treble | OneFootball

English Premier League Tips

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Jimmy The Punt has three bets for Sunday's Premier League action via the Befair Sportsbook including a 46/1 card treble...

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Brentford vs Nottingham Forest

Sunday, 14:00Live on Sky Sports

Nottingham Forest have failed to net in half of their Premier League games this campaign.

With Sean Dyche fighting on a domestic and European front, it wouldn't be a surprise to see them fail to net a Brentford.

It is why I almost took Brentford's price to win to nil, until I saw how many the Bees concede at home.

In 11 top flight games on their own patch, Brentford have only kept clean sheets against Aston Villa, Tottenham and Sunderland.

This one is a no bet for me.

Crystal Palace vs Chelsea

Sunday, 14:00Live on Sky Sports

Imagine being Ismaila Sarr.

He's had a few weeks off to go and win AFCON and returned to Selhurst Park to see the captains gone to Manchester City and his manager is leaving at the end of the season.

From a selfish point of view, Sarr might take some comfort in the fact his side haven't won any of the nine games in his absence (D3 L6).

He has had a hand in four goals across 12 Premier League appearances and with him back in the side, the Eagles attack will get a boost against Chelsea.

Given the turmoil off the pitch and the absence of Daniel Munoz, it is tricky to see the hosts getting a result here though.

That said, I would be hesitant to get Chelsea onside until I have seen a little more of them under Liam Rosenior.

Newcastle vs Aston Villa

Sunday, 14:00Live on Sky Sports

Eddie Howe will be hopeful Bruno Guimaraes' injury isn't too serious.

The midfielder picked up an ankle issue which forced him off before half time against PSV in midweek and he remains touch and go for Sunday's visit of Aston Villa.

Guimaraes tops his sides charts for; goals (8), assists (3), tackles per game (2.1), fouls won per game (2.2) and key passes per game (1.5).

He is pivotal and will be given every chance to feature here but incase he doesn't I have a bet involving one of his understudies.

Lewis Miley is a lovely player best epitomised by the fact he has had a hand in nine times as many goals in his career as he has picked up cards.

Despite playing significantly less football than Bruno Guimaraes this campaign, the pair are level for assists.

Miley has set up three goals this season, he only made one start the season before but set up another three goals the season prior.

In total, that is six assists across 50 Premier League appearances or an assist per 90 average of 0.21.

Based on this, the 9/2 is worth taking for Miley to register 1+ assist on Sunday.

It is worth noting this fixture is the shortest priced match for over 2.5 goals on Sunday, Villa have only kept two Premier League clean sheets on their travels this season and Newcastle have only failed to score in one of their last 20 home games in all competitions.

Arsenal vs Manchester United

Sunday, 16:30Live on Sky Sports

Neither Arsenal nor Manchester United rank high on the ill-discipline charts in the top flight but there were five cards when they met in August and a combined total of 13 in the last two meetings in North London.

So, there could be cards at the Emirates and Martin Zubimendi's price to be carded is the standout at 4/1, it is the best in the business.

Arsenal's midfielder has picked up seven cards in 28 league and Champions League appearances for Arsenal this term.

Based on his cards per 90 average (0.23), he is a touch too big.

For Manchester United, Patrick Dorgu has drawn eight fouls and cards from two opposition right backs in three appearances on the left of midfield,

Based on this, I'd be looking at Arsenal's right back when team news comes out. It could be Ben White or Jurrien Timber.

Dorgu himself has picked up eight yellow cards and a red in 33 Premier League appearances across the last two seasons including in the reverse. That is a card per 90 average of 0.39 so at 10/3, he is also worth a punt in the card market.

He will be shouldering some of the defensive burden of trying to contain Bukayo Saka. He's drawn 1.9 fouls per game and plenty of cards from direct opponents.

Saka started 16 games on the right in the Premier League and opposition left side players have picked up cards in half of those (six left backs, one left sided centre back and one left midfielder).

Naturally, the card double appeals at 18/1 and I think it is worth throwing Luke Shaw into the mix for a card treble 46/1.

Are Man Utd a bet to finish in the top four? Find out here

Recommended bets

Back Lewis Miley 1+ assist @ 9/2

Back Martin Zubimendi to be carded @ 4/1

Back Patrick Dorgu to be carded @ 10/3

Back Zubimendi and Dorgu to be carded @ 18/1