Supercomputer prediction: how far BVB will go in the Champions League | OneFootball

Before the start of the Champions League, Opta calculated BVB’s chances. The supercomputer shows how far Borussia Dortmund could go this season.

Borussia Dortmund’s Champions League adventure begins on Tuesday evening (9 p.m.) against Villarreal CF. But how far can BVB go in Europe’s top competition? Data provider Opta simulated the season 10,000 times before kickoff. The results show that a deep run for Dortmund is certainly possible – although a lot would have to come together for the ultimate triumph.

According to the supercomputer, BVB’s chances of reaching the round of 16 stand at just under 57 percent. That makes reaching the knockout stage more likely than an early exit. After that, however, things get significantly tougher. In only around a quarter of the simulations does Dortmund make it into Europe’s best eight teams.

The outlook for the decisive rounds is even slimmer. Opta puts the probability of reaching the semifinals at around eleven percent. According to the model, BVB reaches the final in only about four percent of cases. As for winning the title, the figure is ultimately just 1.8 percent.

Champions League: Supercomputer sees BVB as outsiders

That means Dortmund is not among the very top favorites, but they are not completely out of the running either. In the ranking of teams with the best title chances, BVB comes in 11th. The forecast looks very different for Bayern Munich. According to Opta, the Munich side is among the hottest contenders for the trophy. With a title probability of around 20 percent, the German record champions are in second place.

Photo: IMAGO

Only Arsenal are given even better odds at about 21 percent. Manchester City follows behind with roughly twelve percent. Barcelona and defending champions Paris Saint-Germain are also rated significantly stronger than Dortmund. The supercomputer also gives record winners Real Madrid better chances of lifting the trophy.

For BVB, the forecast is therefore above all this: the round of 16 is a realistic target, while the quarterfinals would already be a bigger challenge. If Dortmund were still in the competition after that, Niko Kovac’s team would already have clearly exceeded the expectations of the Opta model.

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇩🇪 here.