Tottenham v Newcastle: Back goals galore & 13/2 Bet Builder treble | OneFootball

English Premier League Tips

Paul Higham has a 13/2 Bet Builder treble in play for Tottenham v Newcastle in the Premier League

Paul Higham doesn't trust Spurs or Newcastle too much so is just backing goals on Tuesday night, and focusing on a 13/2 Bet Builder treble based on some solid recent trends.

Tottenham v NewcastleTuesboday 10 February, 19:30 kick-offLive on TNT Sports 3

Tough times for Toon & struggling Spurs

It's now seven league games without a win for Tottenham but Thomas Frank, the even money favourite in the Betfair Sportsbook Sack Race betting, continues to cling to his job, despite being a point worse off than Ange Postecoglou was at this stage of the season last year - when he'd already packed in the Premier League to shoot for the Europa League.

They've won just twice at home in the league all season, which doesn't help placate a worried fanbase that's definitely now fearing a relegation battle as they're in 15th and just six points outside the drop zone.

Fighting back from two down to draw 2-2 with Man City last time out was a good show of character, but Cristian Romero then seeing red in defeat at Old Trafford was a bit more like the Spurs we've seen of late.

They've actually not won a league game this year, and even against a Newcastle side struggling themselves Spurs are still 19/10 home underdogs, which tells you all you need to know.

As Eddie Howe's visitors arrive at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium without a league win in four and just one Champions League win to show from their last eight in all competitions - including three defeats on the spin.

So for Newcastle to be 13/10 favourites here after being hammered at Liverpool and stunned by Brentford at home shows you how little the bookies trust Spurs. I'm not sure we can trust either of them.

The Magpies have just two away wins to their name so are as bad on the road as Spurs are at home - not exactly strength and strength and is why the 5/2 draw will appeal to many. The reverse fixture ended 2-2.

Goals on the agenda

So under the circumstances you could expect a tight, nervous, cagey match, but both sides make so many mistakes and are capable of scoring goals that goals seem inevitable.

Five of the last six for Spurs and 13 of 18 league games for Newcastle have seen goals at both ends, and 6/10 on both teams to score here suggests those runs will extend. Plus this is the most played Premier League fixture never to finish 0-0 (61 matches).

I can see absolutely anything happening here - Spurs can't keep losing at home and Newcastle can't keep suffering heavy away defeats - so I'm tempted by the score draw at 10/3 but I can't even trust these two to do that! So instead I think just backing goals is the way to go, and then just sit back and embrace the chaos.

Newcastle have the fifth-best strike rate for over 3.5 goals in games this season while three of Spurs' last five have gone over this mark.

Bruno could bag but back 9/5 Solanke to score for Spurs

Dominic Solanke scored twice against Man City and has three in two at home - he also loves finding the net against Newcastle with four goals in his last three against the Magpies.

So if we're backing a few goals here Solanke has to be the pick of the bunch as a 9/5 anytime goalscorer.

Nick Woltemade hasn't scored since December and Yoane Wissa has just one goal in 11 but maybe a trip to Spurs can help shake them out of their scoring slumber.

The 23/10 shot Harvey Barnes is a danger and is actually the club's top scorer in all competitions, while skipper Bruno Guimaraes is the surprising Premier League scorer for the club - although neither score many away from home.

With four goals in five in the league, Guimaraes would get my vote at 7/2 anytime scorer for Newcastle - especially since he scored against Spurs in the reverse fixture.

Count cards & shots in 13/2 Bet Builder

And for the Bet Builder, we'll look at what there should be plenty of in the game - namely shots and fouls, or in our case, a few cards.

Spurs have seen the most bookings in the league and recently they've been drawing them from the opposition as well. Spurs have seen 2+ cards in 15 of 16 games, while for Newcastle it's landed in four of five.

We get odds against at 11/10 for each side to see 2+ cards, and that shouldn't be a problem.

The tackles and fouls could fly in from anywhere, so we'll lock in to shots instead and our man Bruno Guimaraes here is the man to be on.

Bruno Guimarães

22 appearances for Newcastle this season

Goals

9

Assists

4

Shots

32

Shots per 90

1.5

Shots on Target

17

Shots on Target per 90

0.8

Chances Created

35

Chances Created per 90

1.6

Passes

1134

Passes per 90

52.9

Yellow Cards

4

Red Cards

0

Fouls

32

Fouls per 90

1.5

Fouls Won

50

Fouls Won per 90

2.3

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As mentioned he's in great scoring touch and for hitting the target it's even better - six games in a row and nine out of 10 make for good reading when backing him for just 1+ shot on target here and only slight odds against at 10/11.

We'll complete the treble with Xavi Simons, a shorter price at 8/11 but he's on a decent run of six shots on target in his last seven games, coming from a healthy 22 goal attempts. Five shots with two on target against Man City in his last home game bodes well.

And the Dutchman's stats are particularly impressive on home turf with a shot on target in his last five games and in six of seven at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium - during which time he's had 23 attempts on goal with nine hitting the target.

Now read all of our other midweek Premier League match previews & best bets from our experts

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