Tuesday Football Cheat Sheet: Best bets for Champions League and EFL | OneFootball

Get the best bets on Tuesday from Betfair football experts

The Champions League round of 16 second legs start on Tuesday so get our experts' best bets as three Premier League clubs try to get through ties that are in the balance. Plus the evening's best bets from the EFL...

Champions League tips and predictions

Paul Higham: It's not quite game over I suppose but one win in six for Chelsea doesn't suggest a team that can turn this around against the defending Champions League winners even if they are 21/20 favourites to win the second leg - they're 15/2 to somehow qualify but that seems a bit far fetched.

Especially since PSG had the weekend off domestically to prepare so you'd think only complacency could stop them finishing the job off, and I think they'll do just that here with their cutting edge, experience and pace on the break making them a deadly opponent for a desperate Chelsea side.

PSG are well worth backing at 2/1 to win the game, which I think Luis Enrique will want to do.

We can do much, much better here though via another Bet Builder, at a massive price this one but with decent stats behind it as we'll take Enzo Fernandez to repeat last week's two-foul game at a healthy 7/5. This bet's landed in his last four Champions League games, and the Blues could well get the runaround here.

Ousmane Dembele will do some of that running, as part of such a speedy counter attack we'll take him for another 2+ shots on target which he's managed in six of his last eight starts - including against Chelsea last week.

20:00 - Man City v Real Madrid Tip - Back a fast start at the Etihad

Paul Higham: I did not expect that last week and I don't expect Man City to make a comeback either on the back of drawing at West Ham at the weekend and drawing their last home game against Nottingham Forest. A Real Madrid side fresh off a 4-1 win at the weekend don't look like a team ready to surrender a three-goal lead.

Real did lose 3-0 at Arsenal in last season's knockouts so that may be fresh in the memory, but that may only help to avoid complacency. The 7/2 on Man City to get through represents their chance at their very best - and that's not what they've been the last few games so I'm not even sure I fancy them that much to win the game as 1/2 favourites.

Can you see Man City scoring first and making it interesting? Yes, of course but I just can't see their defence keeping Real Madrid out, and especially the way Pep Guardiola's side have struggled in the second half of games they're unlikely to stay the distance. I do think it'll be a quick start but that also opens the door for Madrid so we'll back both sides to find the net in the first half.

20:00 - Arsenal v Bayer Leverkusen: Back 11/1 bet builder

Kevin Hatchard: Betfair are still running the Bet £10 Get £10 offer on Bet Builders, and I'll give you an 11/1 Bet Builder by backing Viktor Gyokeres to score, Alex Grimaldo to commit 2+ fouls and have a shot on target.

Grimaldo only committed one foul in the first leg, but he will be up against Bukayo Saka for a lot of this game, and when he moves into midfield at times he'll have to deal with the likes of Declan Rice trying to gallop past him. He takes Bayer's attacking free-kicks, and has had a shot on target in 10 of his last 17 competitive games.

As for Gyokeres, he netted the late winner against Everton and has nine goals across his last 16 appearances. Bear in mind that because of our Safe Sub offer, if Gyokeres starts and is subbed, the bet transfers to the player who replaces him.

EFL tips and predictions

Alan Dudman: We're going with the "big two" in the division and Cardiff, while playing a totally different style to Lincoln, have been one of the best teams by a long shot this season.

They've won 14 at home and scored 42 goals and got back to their best on Saturday with a 0-4 win at Exeter. They created a massive 3.60 xG with 10 chances and double the accurate passes.

Wycombe let me down for a treble, surrendering, to Luton which means back‑to‑back league defeats for Wanderers for the first time since August.

19:45 - Stockport County v Northampton Town: Back hosts and Over 1.5 Goals

Alan Dudman: I opposed Stockport on Saturday at Lincoln, but there's relief in the shape of Northampton coming to town, a side with a pitiful record away from home and Colin Calderwood has made the short-term move from upstairs to downstairs in place of Kevin Nolan.

Northampton are winless in 10 away league games (D3 L7), last going longer without victory on their travels in May 2021 (17) and are readily opposable. The hosts to win is short enough at 1/2 and I would be pretty disappointed if they were not good for at least two goals against a side with an xA of a whopping 1.78.