What points tally do Vasco need to reach the Libertadores? Find out! | OneFootball

Vasco da Gama is still dreaming of a spot in the Copa Libertadores da América, but the mission is a tough one. According to a study by the Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG), the club needs to reach at least 54 points to realistically enter the qualification zone for the continental tournament.

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Currently with 42 points, Vasco has five games left in the Brazilian Championship and can reach a maximum of 57 points. According to the simulation, with 54 points the chances of qualifying rise to 48%, while with 57 points they reach 94.1% — practically a guaranteed spot.

In other words: Fernando Diniz’s team needs to win four out of the last five games to keep the Libertadores dream alive. The challenge is big, as the team is going through an unstable period, with three consecutive defeats.

Vasco’s next opponents are:

There is also an alternative scenario: if the Copa do Brasil champion finishes among the top seven in the Brasileirão, the Libertadores qualification zone extends to 8th place — which would increase Vasco’s chances.

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Vasco da Gama vs Juventude for the Brazilian Championship held at São Januário Stadium on November 8, 2025. Photos: Matheus Lima/Vasco.

Even so, according to UFMG, Vasco currently has only a 1.6% chance of securing the spot. To turn things around, the team needs to react immediately and turn the final matches of the season into an almost perfect run.

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This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇧🇷 here.