World Cup 2026: The nations already through to the knockouts, those eliminated, and what the others need to progress | OneFootball

Plenty is still yet to be decided as the nations at the World Cup get set for their final games of the group stage.

A handful of teams know they are either through to the knockouts, or will be on an early plane home having been knocked out.

However, most are still yet to know for certain.

Here’s how things stand ahead of the final games of the World Cup group stages…

Which teams are already through?

Argentina, France, Germany, Mexico, Norway, USA, Colombia.

How many teams will make it through?

32 teams will make it through to the first knockout round, consisting of the top two in each group plus the eight best third-placed teams.

Which teams have been knocked out of the World Cup?

Haiti, Jordan, Tunisia, Turkey, Panama.

Each group examined

Group A

Hosts Mexico know they are already through to the knockouts as group winners. A win or a draw for South Korea in their final game against South Africa would see them secure their progression, while South Africa need to beat South Korea if they want to make it through. The other team in the group, Czechia, will also need a win against Mexico to stand a chance.

Group B

Canada can confirm their progression with either a win or a draw against Switzerland in their final game, while Switzerland winning would confirm their qualification. Both already have four points, however, which would likely see them through anyway.

Bosnia and Qatar face off knowing a win for either side gives them a fair chance of reaching the knockouts by finishing third. They would need a win by a significant margin if they hope to finish second and secure certain qualification, however.

Group C

A win or a draw for Brazil against Scotland will see them through, and for Morocco against Haiti.

Scotland would, however, progress by beating Brazil, while a draw would give them a strong chance of going through as one of the best placed third teams.

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Group D

USA have won the group. Australia need a win or draw against Paraguay to guarantee progression to the knockouts by finishing second, while Paraguay need a victory to be certain, though a draw would also give them a chance of making it through as one of the best third placed teams.

Group E

Germany are certain to go through as group winners. Ivory Coast, meanwhile, need a point against Curacao to guarantee their progression. Ecuador and Curacao need to win against Germany and Ivory Coast to have a realistic chance of going through as a best third-placed team.

Group F

The Netherlands beating or drawing with Tunisia will see them through for certain. Japan would qualify for sure with a win or draw against Sweden, who would in turn need to beat Japan to see themselves through, though a draw puts them in with a great chance of going through in third.

Group G

Egypt need a win or draw against Iran to go through for certain, while Iran beating Egypt would see them advance. A draw for Iran may or may not be enough to go through in third, given they would only have three points.

New Zealand need to beat Belgium to have any chance of going through, while a win for Belgium would mean they are certain to progress. A draw could see Belgium exit, however, having drawn both of their games so far.

Group H

Spain can progress with a win or draw against Uruguay, while Uruguay must beat Spain to make certain of their progression. A draw might be enough to see Marcelo Bielsa’s side through in third but it is very uncertain.

Cape Verde will, remarkably, make it through if they beat Saudi Arabia, while a draw gives them a slim chance of advancing in third. Saudi Arabia must win to have any chance of going through.

Group I

France and Norway are both through and will face off to see who finishes top.

Senegal and Iraq know they must win to have even a small chance of going through in third, having both failed to pick up a point yet.

Group J

Argentina are through as group winners. Austria will progress with a win or draw against Algeria, who, however, would reach the last 32 if they themselves win. It is the last group to finish so they will have a clearer idea of what is needed.

Group K

Colombia are through and avoiding defeat to Portugal will see them top the group. Portugal are most likely already through but can guarantee it if they manage to get at least a draw.

DR Congo and Uzbekistan both need wins when they face off if they are to stand a chance of progressing. Uzbekistan need a win by a big margin to stand a realistic chance of going through in third.

Group L

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England will advance by avoiding defeat against Panama. Ghana go through if they do not lose to Croatia. Croatia may get through in third with a draw but a win would guarantee their progression, meanwhile.