🧮 Libertadores and relegation battles on after round 29, see odds | OneFootball

With the end of the 29th round of the Brasileirão, it's time to focus on the probabilities of winning the title, qualifying for the Libertadores and Sul-Americana, and, of course, the fight against the Z4!

The calculations are from the Mathematics Department of the Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG). Shall we?

Title 🏆

Flamengo's victory over Palmeiras by 3 x 2 on Sunday (19) has intensified the battle for the Brazilian Championship title.

Now, Palmeiras and Flamengo – both with 61 points in 28 games – are practically tied in chances.

Despite the equal points, Palmeiras maintains a slight edge in title probabilities, with 48.6%, while Flamengo is right behind with 48.3% – both are already guaranteed in the Libertadores.

In third place, Cruzeiro has a 2.6% chance of winning the title.

Liberta, Sula, and Z4 🔥

3rd. Cruzeiro

Libertadores: 99.92%

The probabilities for Sul-Americana or relegation are less than 1%

4th. Mirassol

Libertadores: 97.1%

Sul-Americana: 2.9%

5th. Botafogo

Libertadores: 66%

Sul-Americana: 33.9%

The probabilities of relegation are less than 1%

6th. Bahia

Libertadores: 84.8%

Sul-Americana: 15.1%

The probabilities of relegation are less than 1%

7th. Fluminense

Libertadores: 25.5%

Sul-Americana: 70.2%

The probabilities of relegation are less than 1%

8th. Vasco

Libertadores: 11.8%

Sul-Americana: 76.9%

The probabilities of relegation are less than 1%

9th. São Paulo

Libertadores: 5.1%

Sul-Americana: 69.4%

Relegation: 1.7%

10th. Red Bull Bragantino

Libertadores: 1.9%

Sul-Americana: 56.4%

Relegation: 4.7%

11th. Corinthians

Libertadores: 1.6%

Sul-Americana: 53.6%

Relegation: 5.3%

12th. Grêmio

Libertadores: 1.8%

Sul-Americana: 55.7%

Relegation: 4%

13th. Ceará

Libertadores: 1.3%

Sul-Americana: 48.0%

Relegation: 6.6%

14th. Internacional

Libertadores: 2.6%

Sul-Americana: 55.5%

Relegation: 5.5%

15th. Atlético-MG

Sul-Americana: 35.4%

Relegation: 12.8%

The probabilities of Libertadores are less than 1%

16th. Santos

Sul-Americana: 15.2%

Relegation: 34.8%

The probabilities of Libertadores are less than 1%

17th. Vitória

Sul-Americana: 10.3%

Relegation: 44.6%

The probabilities of Libertadores are less than 1%

18th. Juventude

Relegation: 89.4%

The probabilities of Libertadores and Sul-Americana are less than 1%

19th. Fortaleza

Relegation: 90.4%

The probabilities of Libertadores and Sul-Americana are less than 1%

20th. Sport

Relegation: 99.79%

The probabilities of Libertadores and Sul-Americana are less than 1%

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇧🇷 here.

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