Table woes for HSV: three rankings that give fans a headache | OneFootball

After 17 matchdays, HSV is ranked 14th in the table with 17 points. Can the club be satisfied with this?

The situation before the city derby against FC St. Pauli (Friday, 8:30 PM) is somewhat more stable than the bare table position might initially suggest. The lead over the relegation spot is four points, and even five points over a direct relegation spot. Additionally, the upcoming rescheduled match against Bayer Leverkusen (March 4th) offers the chance to move further up. Even though the task against the Champions League participant will be highly challenging in sporting terms.

Various statistical analyses suggest that HSV could have achieved more despite its solid positioning. Two specific tables paint a picture of missed opportunities. The so-called Expected Points Table, which calculates the probable points yield based on the chances created, shows HSV with 20 instead of 17 points. The main reason for this is the poor conversion of chances, reflected in just 17 goals scored.

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A similarly sobering conclusion is provided by the "True Table", which attempts to retrospectively exclude referee errors from the regular standings. In this alternative view, HSV even ranks tenth. According to this, the Rothosen have already lost four points due to controversial or incorrect decisions. Particularly the matches against 1. FC Köln (1:4) and SC Freiburg (1:2) were triggers for great discontent and heavy criticism of the performances of referees Daniel Schlager and Timo Gerach.

Additional concerns are raised by a third statistic: the away table. With only two points from eight games, HSV is the weakest away team in the league. More than 88 percent of all points were earned in the home stadium. This figure is unmatched across the league and highlights the extreme dependence on the Volksparkstadion fortress. Will the newly promoted team manage to achieve the hoped-for breakthrough at the city neighbor on the Reeperbahn?

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇩🇪 here.