UEFA Champions League / Real Madrid - Manchester City: who is the favorite? | OneFootball

UEFA Champions League / Real Madrid - Manchester City: match analysis

UEFA Champions League / Real Madrid - Manchester City: who is the favorite?

The Champions League draw has produced another explosive showdown between Real Madrid and Manchester City, two clubs accustomed to the biggest nights on the European stage. The first leg will be played at the Santiago Bernabéu on March 10, 2026, with the return fixture set for the Etihad Stadium on March 17. This matchup already has all the makings of a final before the final whistle blows.

Both giants arrive with impressive records in their respective leagues. Real Madrid currently sit second in La Liga with 60 points (19 wins, 3 draws, 3 defeats) and have scored 54 goals while conceding 21, spearheaded by the prolific Kylian Mbappé. Manchester City are also second in the Premier League with 56 points (17 wins, 5 draws, 5 defeats), boasting the stronger attack (56 goals) but a slightly more vulnerable defense.

According to the projections, Manchester City hold a very slight edge (53% City, 47% Real), mainly thanks to the second leg at home. The Citizens are among the top favorites to lift the trophy, while Real Madrid maintain their reputation as masters of the competition. The head-to-head record between these two clubs remains extremely balanced, promising an unpredictable two-legged tie.