Who Will Win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League? Favourites & Predictions | OneFootball

The 2025/26 UEFA Champions League marks a new chapter in European football, introducing an expanded 36-team league phase and culminating in a historic final at Budapest’s Puskas Arena.

As the 71st edition of Europe’s premier club competition progresses, attention is now firmly on the knockout rounds – and the teams that have emerged strongest so far. In this guide, Tribuna.com breaks down the frontrunners and the unique factors defining this year’s competition.

With the league phase now completed, the overall picture is much clearer. Consistency, squad depth and tactical flexibility have proven decisive, separating genuine title contenders from those who struggled to adapt to the new demands of the format.

The League Phase: What We’ve Learned

The traditional group stage has been replaced by a single league table that rewards teams capable of delivering high-level performances across a demanding schedule against varied opposition.

After eight matches per club, the league phase has highlighted several key trends.

Elite squads with proven European experience have largely justified their status, while teams lacking depth have struggled to maintain momentum.

Finishing in the top eight – and securing direct qualification to the round of 16 – has already proven to be a significant competitive advantage.

Key Takeaways from the League Phase

Bayern Munich and Barcelona: Experience Still Matters

Bayern Munich and Barcelona once again proved that Champions League pedigree remains a decisive factor at the highest level.

The Bundesliga club cruised through the league phase with their trademark efficiency, combining tactical discipline with attacking firepower and squad depth.

Meanwhile, Hansi Flick’s showed clear signs of a revival, blending youthful energy with growing European maturity to secure their place among the elite.

Both clubs demonstrated that, even in the new league-phase format, experience, structure and consistency continue to set genuine contenders from the rest.

English Clubs: Depth Over Drama

England’s unprecedented six-team presence has largely paid off. Manchester City and Arsenal looked particularly comfortable with the demands of the new format.

Liverpool’s intensity caused problems for a range of opponents. Tottenham Hotspur’s return via Europa League qualification added further depth, although not all English sides were equally convincing.

Sporting CP: The Breakthrough Story of the League Phase

Sporting CP emerged as one of the standout stories of the league phase, proving that smart squad building and tactical clarity can compete with Europe’s elite.

The Portuguese side impressed with their intensity, organisation and fearless approach against more established opponents.#

Finishing the league phase in a strong position, Sporting demonstrated they are no longer just a domestic force but a genuine European contender capable of disrupting traditional hierarchies in the knockout rounds.

The Impact of the New League Phase

The move to a 36-team league phase means teams play more matches against a wider variety of opponents.

This format benefits squads with immense depth, as the top eight teams in the league table earn a direct ticket to the round of 16, avoiding the gruelling knockout round play-offs.

Why the Favourites Always Seem to Have the Edge

Underdogs rarely lift the Champions League trophy, with history favouring Europe’s elite.

While stories like Porto in 2004 or Monaco’s run in 2004–05 capture the imagination, the competition is overwhelmingly dominated by clubs with deep squads and vast resources.

Cinderella runs excite fans, but in truth, underdog triumphs are the exception, not the rule.

Frequently Asked Questions

The new format has prompted many questions about how teams qualify and where the tournament is heading. We have clarified some of the most common myths and facts below.

Who are the current defending champions?

Paris Saint-Germain are the defending champions, having won their first-ever Champions League title in the 2024-25 season.

Why does England have so many teams this year?

England earned a fifth spot through the UEFA coefficient ranking (European Performance Spot) and a sixth spot because Tottenham Hotspur won the previous season’s Europa League.

Where and when is the final?

The final will be held at the Puskas Arena in Budapest, Hungary, on May 30, 2026.

Who will the Champions League winners play in the UEFA Super Cup, and when is it?

They will face the Europa League winners in the UEFA Super Cup on August 14, 2026.