Benfica, Sporting or Porto? Supercomputer predicts the champions | OneFootball

The battle for the Primeira Liga title promises to be fierce until the very last second. The latest forecasts indicate that the next National Champion will be decided by the smallest of details. According to data from a supercomputer, Porto is expected to be crowned champion with 85 points, closely followed by Sporting with 82 points. Benfica is set to round off the podium with 78 points.

Matchday 14 brought significant changes in the mathematical probabilities, especially for Benfica. The Eagles, after thrashing Moreirense 4-0 away from home, saw their chances of clinching gold rise by 2%. Even more impressive is their recovery in the race for direct Champions League qualification: the club from Luz increased by 5% in the probability of finishing in the top two.

On the other side of the Segunda Circular, the statistical scenario presents a curious contradiction. Despite Sporting crushing AVS with a resounding 6-0, their chances of becoming champions dropped by 3%. The numbers were also unkind in the top-two race, where the Lions lost 4% probability, highlighting the impact of their rivals’ results, particularly Benfica’s.

In the heated battle for European competition spots, Braga took a giant step forward. The narrow victory over Santa Clara (1-0) earned the Warriors a 5% increase in the probability of finishing in the top four. Conversely, Gil Vicente’s draw against Casa Pia (1-1) proved costly, resulting in a 4% drop in those same calculations.

In the Liga Portugal Betclic, Benfica occupies third place in the table, with 32 points after 14 matchdays. The Eagles have recorded nine wins, five draws, and no defeats, with 30 goals scored and 8 conceded, resulting in a positive goal difference of 22. In the next round, the Reds will host Famalicão.

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇵🇹 here.