Corinthians face drop fears, still dream of Libertadores | OneFootball

Corinthians ended the 24th round of the Brazilian Championship in a delicate situation. The defeat to Sport increased the team's probability of relegation, according to calculations by the Mathematics Department at the Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG). Even so, the club still hopes to fight for a spot in continental competitions in 2026.

According to the projections, Timão's chance of dropping to Série B rose to 8.1%, up from 5% in the previous round. At the same time, the probabilities of qualifying for the Copa Sudamericana (53.6%) and the Copa Libertadores (3%) have decreased, numbers that were previously 61.9% and 5.5%, respectively. The chances of winning the title have already vanished.

Photo: Rodrigo Coca/Ag. Corinthians

Compared to the other clubs in Série A, Corinthians appears as the tenth most threatened team by relegation, being the only one in this group with less than a 10% risk. In the race for spots in the Sudamericana, it ranks fifth among the contenders. For the Libertadores, it appears only as the 11th place in the projections.

The setback against Sport left Timão with 29 points and caused a drop to tenth place in the standings. The situation is concerning because the club has played more matches than Ceará, Grêmio, Internacional, Santos, and Atlético-MG, all of whom have a chance to overtake them. Today, Corinthians is seven points above Vitória, the first team in the relegation zone, and eight behind Bahia, who currently holds the last spot in the Libertadores G-6, but with two games in hand.

Now, the team led by Dorival Júnior will have a free week for training before their next commitment in the Brasileirão. Timão returns to the field on Sunday at 8:30 pm, when they face Flamengo at Neo Química Arena for the 25th round.

Corinthians' chances at the end of the 24th round of the Brasileirão:

Relegation: 8.1% – 10th on the list

Spot in the Sudamericana: 53.6% – 5th on the list

Spot in the Libertadores: 3% – 11th on the list

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This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇧🇷 here.