Nacional v Casa Pia: survival stakes as lower-half rivals seek breathing space | OneFootball

Nacional host Casa Pia in Liga Portugal on Sunday, 8 February 2026 at the Estádio da Madeira, with 12th facing 15th and a chance to put daylight between themselves and the bottom three.

The hosts won the reverse fixture 2-0 in August and may take confidence from that head to head marker. Casa Pia, however, arrive on an uptick after beating leaders Porto 2-1 last time out.

Recent form is mixed on both sides. Nacional's last five league games read L-D-L-W-L, including a 4-0 home win over Rio Ave and narrow defeats at Sporting CP and Gil Vicente. Casa Pia followed draws with Vitória S.C. and AVS and losses at Rio Ave and Sporting CP with that statement home victory against Porto.

Routes to goal could hinge on Nacional's cutting edge against a leaky defence. The hosts average 1.4 goals per game this season, while Casa Pia have conceded 39 at 1.9 per match. Jesús Andrés Ramírez sits among the league's leading scorers on 13 goals for Nacional, and Jeremy Livolant has six assists for Casa Pia. Both sides tend to finish from inside the box and deliver plenty of crosses, so wide supply and penalty area movement may be decisive.

A home win would move Nacional to 23 points and could firm up a lower mid table cushion. An away victory would take Casa Pia to 21 points and may push them further clear of the relegation play-off zone, with momentum to build on after their Porto result.