PSG v Chelsea: Back a slow burner in Paris & 6/1 Blues Bet Builder | OneFootball

Click here for PSG v Chelsea oddsWednesday 11 March, 20:00 kick-offLive on Discovery+ & TNT Sports 2

Defending champs take on World Champions

Defending European champions PSG definitely aren't the same side they were last year, and they're fortunate to even be in this round having squeezed past Monaco thanks to playing against 10 men in both legs of their play-off tie.

They've since lost 1-3 at home against a Monaco side with 11 for the full game just to emphasise the point - although they're still 8/11 to make the quarter-finals while Chelsea are 11/10 to put the Champions League holders out.

As for the first leg it's PSG 10/11 and Chelsea 29/10 - with the hosts conceding five goals to Monaco in their last two home games and also drawing 1-1 with Newcastle in the league phase.

Liam Rosenior made plenty of changes at Wrexham but needed to call on a few stars to get over the line in extra-time, so there may be a bit of tiredness even if just mentally as this trip to Paris is their fourth consecutive away game having also won at Villa only narrowly lost at Arsenal.

A display similar to those at the Emirates or Villa Park would give the Blues a great chance here as PSG have been sloppy at the back, with eight of their 10 Champions League games seeing both teams score.

That's also the case with 12 of Chelsea's last 14 away games in all competitions so no wonder it's 1/2 for goals at both ends in Paris.

Half time draw appeals

On paper Chelsea look more in form, but you just wonder if the extra experience in the PSG side will work wonders now we're down to the sharp end of the tournament. It's too close to call on the match result but I don't think it'll be gung-ho from the off so the 7/5 on the half-time draw is the only real result bet of interest.

Five of PSG's eight Champions League group games ended up level at the interval.

Bet £10 Get £10 on Accas or Bet Builders

With the emphasis on Bet Builders this week at Betfair then there's even more reason to dive into the stats and the player props markets.

Desire Doue at 15/8 and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia at 13/8 look like PSG's main goalscoring threats with four each so far in the Champions League, although midfielder Vitinha is actually PSG's top scorer in the competition with five, and missed a penalty against Monaco.

Vitinha is 9/2 anytime goalscorer here which is tempting if he's still on the pens.

21/10 anytime goalscorer chance Joao Pedro is by far Chelsea's main attacking threat with the form he's been in, with 11 goals in his last 12 games for the Blues, and he's most likely to score out of anyone on the pitch in Paris.

And the 4/7 on Pedro just to hit the target is decent enough to include in a Bet Builder, with shots on target in eight of his past 10 outings (14 in total) showing the serious form he's in right now.

Enzo Fernández

8 appearances for Chelsea this season

Goals

2

Assists

1

Shots

15

Shots per 90

2.3

Shots on Target

4

Shots on Target per 90

0.6

Chances Created

11

Chances Created per 90

1.7

Passes

366

Passes per 90

55.1

Yellow Cards

2

Red Cards

0

Fouls

11

Fouls per 90

1.7

Fouls Won

18

Fouls Won per 90

2.7

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Along with Pedro we'll add a rested Enzo Fernandez and a combination that's worked very well in his recent outings - with fouls and shots on target littering his stats sheet.

Fernandez has hit the target in eight of his last 10 games and four of six in the Champions League, while he's both given away and suffered multiple fouls in his last three outings in the competition - so he's heavily involved going both ways.

In particular it's the fouls against Fernandez which stand out - he's been fouled at least twice in all eight Champions League games so far, so 7/5 for Fernandez to be fouled twice again looks ideal.

Bet £10 Get £10 offer, but all three have serious form behind them.