See what Palmeiras need to reclaim the Brasileiro lead this round | OneFootball

Palmeiras can reclaim the lead in the Brazilian Championship this round, but they do not depend solely on themselves to do so. In pursuit of the top of the table, Verdão hosts Fluminense this Saturday, starting at 9:30 p.m. (Brasília time), at Allianz Parque, for the 35th round.

Only two points separate Flamengo and Palmeiras in the race for the Brazilian Championship title. While Rubro-Negro leads with 71 points, Alviverde holds 69 points and continues to chase their rival. In this round, however, the São Paulo team is hoping for a change in scenario. But what is needed for that to happen?

With the draw against Vitória and Flamengo’s defeat to Fluminense, Palmeiras reduced the gap to the Gávea club. Now, Verdão will need not only to beat Tricolor das Laranjeiras, but also root for a defeat of the current leader.

Flamengo faces Red Bull Bragantino in this 35th round. The match will take place simultaneously with Palmeiras’ game: this Saturday, at 9:30 p.m., at Maracanã. The fact is that Massa Bruta is also fighting for its own objectives and dreams, perhaps, of a spot in the Libertadores, as it currently occupies eighth place and the G6 has already become G7.

In this scenario, if Palmeiras wins and Flamengo loses, Verdão would not only overtake the Rio opponent in the table but would also open up a one-point lead over their rival. Alviverde would reach 72 points, while the Gávea team would remain at 71.

Does a Flamengo draw also work?

For Palmeiras to reclaim the lead, victory over Fluminense is non-negotiable. A draw would still leave Verdão one point behind Flamengo. A defeat would not change the scenario at all and, if Flamengo wins, they could pull away in the lead.

In a scenario where Palmeiras wins, a Flamengo draw against Red Bull Bragantino would also be enough for Alviverde to reclaim the lead. The Palmeiras team would reach 72 points, just like Rubro-Negro, but would come out ahead on the first tiebreaker: number of wins.

At this moment, Palmeiras and Flamengo are tied in number of wins, both with 21 each. If they beat Fluminense and the Rio team loses or draws in the round, Verdão would reach their 22nd win and match the 72 points, but would surpass their rival and reclaim the lead.

Chances of winning the Brasileirão

Until last Friday, the team with the greatest chance of lifting the Brazilian Championship trophy was Flamengo. According to data from UFMG (Federal University of Minas Gerais), the probability of the Rio Rubro-Negro winning the title is 67.6%.

Palmeiras, on the other hand, is still alive in the fight and has a 31.3% chance of winning the title. Cruzeiro, however, already has only a remote chance in the race for the trophy, with a probability of just 1.3%.

Upcoming Palmeiras matches

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇧🇷 here.