UEFA Champions League / Atalanta Bergamo - Bayern Munich: who is the favorite? | OneFootball

UEFA Champions League / Atalanta Bergamo - Bayern Munich: match analysis

UEFA Champions League / Atalanta Bergamo - Bayern Munich: who is the favorite?

Atalanta Bergamo and Bayern Munich are set to face off in one of the most intriguing clashes of the Champions League Round of 16. The draw in Nyon has scheduled the first leg in Italy on March 10, 2026, with the return leg at the Allianz Arena on March 17. It's a showdown between an ambitious Italian side and a German giant in full flight.

On paper, the stats paint a clear picture. Atalanta sits 7th in Serie A with 45 points (12 wins, 9 draws, 5 losses) and 36 goals scored. Bayern, meanwhile, dominates the Bundesliga with 60 points and an impressive record of 19 wins in 23 matches. The Bavarians are especially fearsome in attack, having netted 85 goals while conceding just 21.

Logically, Bayern Munich emerges as the overwhelming favorite in this two-legged tie. Current odds give them about a 77% chance of advancing, compared to just 23% for Atalanta. Still, the Italians—buoyed by their upset against Dortmund in the play-offs—are hoping to spring another surprise against the Harry Kane-led German powerhouse.