Midweek Football Cheat Sheet: Best bets Premier League Matchday 14 | OneFootball

English Premier League

Get the best Premier League midweek bets for matchday 14

Get the best bets for the Premier League's midweek matchday 14 with bet builders and more from Betfair football experts...

Tuesday Premier League football tips and predicitions

19:30 - Bournemouth v Everton: Cherries' games are sweet for goals backers

Mark Stinchcombe: Seven of the last eight Bournemouth games have seen over 2.5 goals winners- meaning the strike rate for their matches now stands at 69% for the season. And it's no surprise, because when you get goals in Bournemouth games it tends to rain! No other sides matches have seen more goals than the Cherries 44 this season - an average of 3.38 per-game - which equates to odds of 1/2 for three or more goals for an average game.

They host an Everton side whose matches have only seen a 39% strike rate for Over 2.5 goals - the lowest in the division, alongside Arsenal and Sunderland. But we have just seen Bournemouth go to Sunderland and produce a five goal match, so I didn't think we should really worry too much about the opposition.

However, Everton are underperforming in-front of goal and overperforming in defence by a combined seven goals based on expected goals, meaning we should have seen them involved in some higher scoring games. Indeed, eight of their 13 games this season have seen more than 2.5 xG, a 62% strike rate.

19:30 - Fulham v Manchester City: Back bet builder at 11/4

Mike Norman: It's hard to look beyond a Manchester City victory on Tuesday night but we shouldn't expect it to be as straightforward as 18 victories on the spin against Fulham would suggest.

There have been some wide-margin wins for City in that winning-spell including seven consecutive victories without conceding, but in recent years the games have been slightly closer with Fulham getting on the scoresheet in five of their last seven defeats to City.

So backing City to win with both teams getting on the scoresheet appeals as a decent starting point for a mini Bet Builder, and we'll include Erling Haaland to get on the scoresheet at anytime. The Norwegian striker has scored six goals in six Premier League appearances against Fulham, he's been in terrific form this season, and he'll be desperate to get back among the goals following blanks against Newcastle and Leeds.

20:15 - Newcastle v Tottenham: Back Magpies in bet builder at 8/1

Opta: Newcastle are clear favourites for victory on the Betfair Sportsbook, at a price of 8/13 with Betfair's 90 Minute Guarantee. A Spurs win is available at 10/3, with the draw 12/5.  The Opta supercomputer also makes the Magpies favourites. Newcastle are assigned a 54.7% chance of victory to Tottenham's 22%, while 23.3% of simulations finished all square.

Newcastle have had the upper hand in this fixture of late, winning five of their last six Premier League games against Tottenham (one defeat), including each of the last three in a row. That is as many defeats as Spurs suffered in the teams' previous 17 head-to-head meetings (10 wins, two draws).

This is the first time Spurs have lost three consecutive Premier League matches against Newcastle since enduring a six-game streak between April 2006 and December 2008. Newcastle's three successive wins against Spurs have come by an aggregate score of 12-2.

Wednesday Premier League football tips and predicitions

19:30 - Arsenal v Brentford: Back the Bees to score

Kevin Hatchard: Brentford have scored in all but two of their competitive games this season, with Manchester City and Crystal Palace the only sides to shut them out this term. The absence of Gabriel and possibly William Saliba will be significant as Arsenal look to defend long throws and corners, while Igor Thiago is in terrific form.

Arsenal are probably the best out-of-possession team in Europe, but they have conceded at least once in each of their last four games, and they've had a tough run of fixtures of late. I think Brentford will probably lose here, but against a depleted Arsenal defence I'll back them to score. Backing Both Teams To Score gives us an attractive price of 2.18.

19:30 - Wolves v West Ham: Back Mosquera shots

Lewis Jones: Across the previous three seasons, Yerson Mosquera is only averaging 0.6 shots per match and that is what is dictating his price for Wolves' clash with Nottingham Forest on Wednesday. The market will eventually react, but it will need longer-term evidence. And that means we're in a window where the input has changed but the price hasn't.

Mosquera has the attributes to be a big threat from such situations - he's tall, athletic and aerially competitive - and those qualities have been spotted by Edwards, based on how prominent Mosquera was in Wolves' set-piece structure in the defeat at Villa.

The defender had two shots there and was denied a goal by a save-of-the-season contender from Emiliano Martinez. If Edwards rinses and repeats those set-piece routines, then Mosquera is great value in the shots market with Betfair where he is 10/11 for one or more and 9/2 for two or more.

20:15 - Leeds v Chelsea: Back Whites to strike early

The Opta Stat:Five of Leeds United's seven Premier League goals at Elland Road this season have been scored in the first half of games (71%). They have a 10% shot conversion in the first 45 minutes (5 goals from 50 shots) which drops to 4.7% in the second half (2 goals from 43 shots).

20:15 - Liverpool v Sunderland: Back 9/1 card double at Anfield

Dave Tindall: Granit Xhaka has picked up three yellows in his last nine Premier League matches and all were against the bigger teams: Villa, Manchester United and Arsenal. Perhaps there's something in that.

He was once sent off in a League Cup tie against Liverpool while in 12 Premier League meetings with the Reds he's been booked in half of them. Xhaka is on four yellows this season so can afford another one without being banned. You sense he'd take it, if required, at Anfield.

If you want a double, combine him with Liverpool's Alexis Mac Allister, who can get outmuscled against more physical opponents. The Argentine picked up 11 cautions last season and has had yellow flashed at him in three of his last six outings. Stuart Atwell takes charge and he's issued more bookings (45 in nine matches) than any other Premier League ref this season.